Middle East · resolved market
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,894,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,759,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,894,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc84f…e0c5backed Yes | 34c | 132,371$44,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,788.19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8792…4174backed No | 62c | 61,885$38,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,616.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 18c | 56,969$10,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,383.35 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 49c | 51,473$25,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,435.55 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 39c | 44,168$17,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,230.38 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed No | 45c | 42,838$19,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,739.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked Yes | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,399.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 38c | 32,342$12,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,152.66 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked No | 79c | 30,763$24,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,540.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 54c | 28,978$15,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,616.44 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 56c | 28,341$15,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,755.79 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 17c | 27,884$4,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.23 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 50c | 27,496$13,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,731.26 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…8c1cbacked Yes | 24c | 26,965$6,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,351.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 63c | 26,238$16,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,624.67 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…8f85backed No | 51c | 24,403$12,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,965.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 57c | 23,858$13,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,583.58 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 10c | 22,950$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.82 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 47c | 22,910$10,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,129.89 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 40c | 22,766$9,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,054.67 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf96…9942backed Yes | 66c | 20,697$13,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,592.77 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 50c | 20,109$9,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,971.96 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 2c | 20,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 15c | 19,409$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 11c | 17,478$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.09 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 2c | 15,814$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.74 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…623abacked Yes | 1c | 15,200$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Yes | 12c | 15,198$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…baecbacked Yes | 66c | 15,000$9,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,939.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 2c | 14,600$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.74 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbce…3da1backed Yes | 9c | 13,948$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 27c | 13,600$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.52 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…c949backed No | 39c | 13,412$5,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,119.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 31c | 13,068$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.85 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 30c | 12,594$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.24 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 39c | 12,371$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,562.08 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 46c | 12,319$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,621.24 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked No | 51c | 12,029$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,878.23 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 33c | 12,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.97 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…5d0ebacked Yes | 4c | 11,796$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.95 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 43c | 11,794$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.88 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5662…9aaabacked Yes | 2c | 11,629$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 4c | 11,224$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.02 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 36c | 11,055$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.03 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 53c | 10,989$5,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,865.03 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,922$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 3c | 10,473$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.54 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked No | 50c | 10,313$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked No | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed No | 66c | 9,868$6,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.52 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 54c | 9,715$5,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,427.18 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 12c | 9,701$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.4 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Yes | 10c | 9,649$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 10c | 9,439$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.99 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 35c | 9,127$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.41 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 44c | 9,109$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.24 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed Yes | 36c | 8,817$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.03 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 45c | 8,519$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x690b…bd2cbacked No | 77c | 8,151$6,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…1077backed Yes | 58c | 7,500$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 28c | 7,440$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.01 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 6c | 7,274$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.46 | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 50c | 6,971$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.51 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed Yes | 57c | 6,675$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 46c | 6,458$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.55 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 12c | 6,432$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.58 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 48c | 6,220$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.29 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 75c | 6,154$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.51 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 2c | 6,082$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 17c | 6,025$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.66 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.99 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 44c | 6,000$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.56 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…11ffbacked No | 52c | 5,906$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bf…e00bbacked Yes | 66c | 5,654$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed No | 80c | 5,643$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,590$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.17 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…cd0bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,555$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Yes | 45c | 5,398$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed No | 77c | 5,390$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.61 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed Yes | 17c | 5,241$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…b21dbacked Yes | 63c | 5,208$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.6 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed No | 41c | 5,179$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.97 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked No | 54c | 5,055$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 5c | 5,019$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 58c | 5,013$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.73 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 17c | 5,000$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.74 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 52c | 5,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 15c | 4,990$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.7 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed No | 42c | 4,969$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 10c | 4,880$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.64 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 14c | 4,845$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.45 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 56c | 4,809$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.79 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…d9e8backed Yes | 8c | 4,695$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…133cbacked No | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 22c | 4,355$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.36 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 14c | 4,315$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.48 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.