TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f66…3a50

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
502
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT18246.2%84 W · 98 L-15.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$4,427.18
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$225.35
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$217.36
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.66
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$138.14
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,339Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$659.61
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.38
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$494
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$51.65
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$43.61
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$34.55
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$58.23
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$258.9
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$277.63
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$554
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$188.43
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$876.93
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+76%+$649.99
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+297.7%+$1,124.99
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.88
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.61
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT7661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$82.88
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.52
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$308.06
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+136.1%+$208.28
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$673.25
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$168.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$148.79
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$1,611.9
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$997
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+43%+$1,173.54
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,252
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.45
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$280.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.11
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,056.59
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.96
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$372
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$169.6
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$454.47
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$497.84
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.44
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$99.47
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Aleksandar Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Vlasto Cepo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Duško Todorovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Milos Janicic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$45.32
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Michael Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.62
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Bogdan Grad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$27.09
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Jovan Leka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Marina Spasic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.75
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$171.55
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+41%+$277.74
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$55.57
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$57.95
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.98
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.3
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.71
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$30.16
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$916.26
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$160.47
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.92
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$174.35
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$231.56
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.81
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$61.95
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$313.17
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$33.02
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$88.82
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+30%+$150.03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$106.61
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.81
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$149.56
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.6%+$502.08
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$86.36
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$40.3
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.36
Will Norway win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$86.5
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.04
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.99
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.14
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid+59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.08
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$180.36
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$40.93
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.05
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$162.44
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+2,114.8%+$217.82
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$22.16
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$83.72
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$12.37
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.93
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+36.8%+$36.86
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Yoon arrested before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$537
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$10.08
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+222.4%+$289.12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.11
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$262.8
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$277
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$661.79
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.71
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.34
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.2%+$45.3
Will Russia enter Bilytske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43.33
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$158.52
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.49
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.32
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$82.51
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$199.14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$168.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.9%+$54.08
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+138.9%+$15.28
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$87.91
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "The Drama" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$7.15
Will "Fantasy Life" score at least 83 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$69.41
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$41.73
Will "Hoppers" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$107.42
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$141.62
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$11.59
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+152%+$26.03
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$42.91
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.9%+$10.56
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$18.98
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$131.67
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+30.6%+$5.51
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+39.9%+$32.88
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+36.3%+$16.35
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,054.35
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.12
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,414Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+43.5%+$615.03
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.91
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37.1%+$16.19
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+50.7%+$25.36
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+36.7%+$24.25
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-65.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$75.48
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.