Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f5b7d846014fc9808d92ae5bfa397e9312e14a2baf45befabae07e9f0be39b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,308,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,337,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,308,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 12c | 199,111$23,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,336.62 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 7c | 51,936$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.38 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 11c | 33,956$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9e92backed Yes | 7c | 26,933$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 69c | 15,372$10,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.45 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…d720backed Yes | 0c | 13,903$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…ef34backed Yes | 20c | 13,892$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +431.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 18c | 13,725$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 5c | 10,758$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.28 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,693$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…621bbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.02 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 9,860$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.82 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…bf17backed Yes | 0c | 9,519$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…0d08backed Yes | 1c | 8,120$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 4c | 7,320$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.04 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Yes | 7c | 6,802$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 6c | 6,500$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.28 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…c3fabacked Yes | 10c | 5,828$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d4…2559backed Yes | 22c | 5,678$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…bd75backed Yes | 5c | 5,553$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 16cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 7c | 5,006$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…50cabacked Yes | 1c | 4,704$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,685$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f5…f692backed Yes | 1c | 4,443$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 29c | 4,423$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 34cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes | 7c | 4,348$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +1,064.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…9cc7backed Yes | 19c | 4,223$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…defebacked No | 76c | 4,000$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…06c6backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes | 3c | 3,951$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed No | 77c | 3,907$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0088…fe52backed Yes | 23c | 3,832$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed Yes | 6c | 3,797$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…c7e9backed Yes | 19c | 3,773$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 8c | 3,558$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.69 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…3d12backed Yes | 1c | 3,478$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 3,463$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,365$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,289$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.06 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 11c | 3,230$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…f694backed Yes | 16c | 3,065$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 63c | 3,016$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.95 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 8c | 2,863$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.86 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 2,714$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…4845backed No | 76c | 2,595$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.72 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…5063backed Yes | 15c | 2,570$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…d71ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…5a75backed Yes | 4c | 2,451$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 24c | 2,446$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…1b74backed No | 76c | 2,400$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 2,369$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.53 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…24fabacked Yes | 7c | 2,270$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 68c | 2,224$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.79 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…52e7backed No | 75c | 2,200$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 8c | 2,187$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 2,157$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…8605backed Yes | 1c | 2,155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,058$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,050$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 1,943$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,941$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…829fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,926$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 78c | 1,828$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…7131backed No | 75c | 1,800$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 77c | 1,750$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.6 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,746$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.87 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 1c | 1,735$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 29c | 1,712$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 40c | 1,657$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.87 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…8229backed Yes | 10c | 1,649$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 5c | 1,644$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…992bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,624$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…c1f6backed No | 76c | 1,600$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…58abbacked Yes | 11c | 1,575$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,545$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…640bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868e…5392backed Yes | 1c | 1,529$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 57c | 1,512$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.76 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 1,486$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 28c | 1,472$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.55 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0451…db79backed No | 72c | 1,457$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 1c | 1,426$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…4a9cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,400$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 2c | 1,397$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 1,388$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…6d82backed Yes | 4c | 1,387$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a7…3becbacked Yes | 11c | 1,344$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…d9b1backed Yes | 47c | 1,324$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x184b…bc39backed No | 76c | 1,299$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 33c | 1,236$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b47…af01backed Yes | 12c | 1,207$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…dd82backed Yes | 6c | 1,154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed Yes | 27c | 1,129$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +247%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…0720backed Yes | 6c | 1,084$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $60 in February?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $120 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.