Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $160 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5641d4247b4389e80d5f5e5595317de85d7f326defc19393fc141628afa2e673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 3c | 19,000$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 9,685$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 4c | 9,618$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,224$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 6,257$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 1c | 5,870$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…621bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 4,522$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…e096backed Yes | 3c | 3,775$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,045$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,832$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a7…d045backed Yes | 0c | 2,739$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…de2ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…78dcbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 1c | 2,384$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 2,329$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…8266backed Yes | 3c | 2,292$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…ce9bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 2c | 2,026$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,905$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 2c | 1,769$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 3c | 1,522$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…dd23backed Yes | 5c | 1,468$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,295$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed Yes | 2c | 1,003$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…aa1abacked Yes | 4c | 904.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 828.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 6c | 714.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 699.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…f231backed Yes | 2c | 660.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…325ebacked Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 579$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…d4c0backed Yes | 3c | 570$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…d63bbacked Yes | 2c | 499.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 499.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Yes | 3c | 450.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes | 3c | 364.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 4c | 302.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $160 in February?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $120 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.