Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaad142fb0abea0aebcb48371d7a274558368de4e21524338d457923ea593c18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,584,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,641,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,584,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked No | 0c | 723,607$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 9c | 100,907$8,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,970.73 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0451…db79backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…206bbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27af…d55ebacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0930…fd9ebacked No | 0c | 95,500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…b510backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e11…9109backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…eac8backed No | 10c | 30,813$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…74fcbacked No | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked No | 0c | 23,400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c5…50b1backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 51c | 19,109$9,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,812.19 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…dab2backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…503dbacked No | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…b1c1backed No | 0c | 10,450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…e4a3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…b905backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…d3c2backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…d60dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1a…fdd4backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…b37ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 8,373$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 14c | 7,532$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.16 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…c4abbacked No | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 76c | 5,386$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.75 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…796abacked No | 0c | 5,196$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6d…57c3backed Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…cb8ebacked No | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 44c | 3,040$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 3,034$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.8 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,033$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…f8f2backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.78 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 39c | 2,932$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.42 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed No | 1c | 2,592$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 61c | 2,500$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 49c | 2,383$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.58 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…932dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,058$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 30c | 2,040$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a56ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,030$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…8613backed Yes | 51c | 2,020$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…8a64backed Yes | 66c | 1,970$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…e0b0backed Yes | 60c | 1,942$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.52per pick | 25cpaid | +743.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,667$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.67 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,593$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,580$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 51c | 1,360$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 1,107$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes | 47c | 1,100$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…8e33backed Yes | 70c | 1,060$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +126%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…89c4backed Yes | 48c | 1,044$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.03 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be3…5b35backed No | 16c | 1,038$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…db3ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,005$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.1 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 54c | 964.81$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.81 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…c1ecbacked Yes | 58c | 931.03$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked Yes | 55c | 844$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 39c | 842.2$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.2 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 43c | 712.06$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.28 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 39c | 645.83$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.24 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…992bbacked No | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 611.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…9783backed Yes | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 10c | 519.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 5c | 444.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 44c | 437.92$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb605…89ccbacked Yes | 56c | 423.35$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 410.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked No | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed No | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…4eeabacked No | 52c | 387.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…a548backed No | 50c | 380.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 55c | 364.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.41 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed No | 29c | 360.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…147cbacked No | 28c | 349$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…6c64backed Yes | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…cac5backed Yes | 53c | 346.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Yes | 43c | 326.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 25cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 43c | 321$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.97 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…f694backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 53c | 299.31$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 68c | 295.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…0b1cbacked No | 31c | 282.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed No | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 43c | 279.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…bb6abacked Yes | 59c | 276.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…321abacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 53c | 248.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…f25fbacked Yes | 41c | 246.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…0b0abacked Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…4500backed Yes | 63c | 241.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $90 in February?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $120 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.