Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55414e5c50a1aea1ceb50978d55d832a532881dbe9b11f66eac522a918f38a10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 77c | 20,712$15,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,880.91 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 25c | 20,332$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,185.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 43c | 18,822$8,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,074.4 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 30c | 11,864$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,364.08 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 60c | 6,857$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.93 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…eac8backed Yes | 59c | 6,726$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 73c | 5,530$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,031.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.78 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 61c | 2,566$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.12 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 59c | 2,429$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…07c0backed No | 4c | 2,312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.73 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…8613backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…89c4backed Yes | 28c | 2,177$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.63 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 62c | 2,090$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.69 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 21c | 2,071$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.34 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 75c | 1,809$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 48c | 1,576$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 58c | 1,399$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.96 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 77c | 1,307$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.14 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4768…9117backed Yes | 46c | 1,284$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 55c | 1,265$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.78 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,255$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed No | 62c | 1,208$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…f694backed Yes | 14c | 1,081$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked No | 48c | 1,051$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…c5b7backed Yes | 46c | 997.85$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…c1ecbacked Yes | 31c | 964.13$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 77c | 961.9$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.05 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 940$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked No | 61c | 840$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…fec1backed Yes | 38c | 789.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…c7e9backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 29c | 779.95$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.88 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…0245backed Yes | 26c | 776.83$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +286.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 44c | 771.67$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.3 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…5c57backed Yes | 21c | 709.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 53c | 638.97$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.09 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…e71abacked Yes | 29c | 633.09$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.2 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…4105backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes | 19c | 625.47$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.63 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +1,064.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Yes | 21c | 608.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 25cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…621bbacked Yes | 20c | 608.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.56 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 74c | 599.85$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 63c | 599$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.66 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 70c | 567.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Yes | 38c | 529.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…a1a8backed No | 73c | 515.11$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…45c2backed Yes | 25c | 508.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +197.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…89c0backed No | 72c | 505.35$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…ee6cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 51c | 499.99$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 58c | 499.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed No | 6c | 499.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd927…3e58backed Yes | 55c | 490$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 55c | 488$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 7c | 480.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 433.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked No | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed No | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…992bbacked No | 23c | 396.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ad…63debacked Yes | 28c | 393.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 11c | 369.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 29c | 326.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…2151backed Yes | 62c | 323.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…d39cbacked Yes | 45c | 314$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…c689backed Yes | 77c | 299.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x687b…f8a7backed Yes | 9c | 296.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +215%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Yes | 31c | 295.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.30per pick | 24cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…5364backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…f341backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…4145backed Yes | 62c | 261.29$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…f6d5backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 22cpaid | +275.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed No | 20c | 227.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…de36backed Yes | 31c | 226.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…0801backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 72c | 200.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…cbf7backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…25f4backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…aa0dbacked Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +426.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…4500backed No | 44c | 177.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…3866backed Yes | 35c | 177$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df5…e7c2backed No | 73c | 176.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…2d2ebacked Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa6…54a4backed Yes | 58c | 173.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9299…4f5fbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380e…5f39backed No | 73c | 170.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $80 in February?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $120 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.