TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5674…8b14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
506
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 61 out of 100; worst Middle East at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT36742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 367 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,080.85
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.43
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+375.6%+$3,193.01
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+952.3%+$2,902.76
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$127.57
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.92
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked Patins da Ferrari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$702.9
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$337
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$294.64
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$139.09
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.41
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,511.48
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.1
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$165
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,191.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,566.43
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.37
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$846
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,093.82
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Abacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,915
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$769
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.91
Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.3
Showing 25 of 367 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT4639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tanner Boser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.96
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,739.95
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.01
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$797.13
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.52
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.02
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.18
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Randy Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.64
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60.18
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Tatiana Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$137.37
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Kelvin Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.39
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Charles Radtke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.63
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$187.88
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Gatto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.36
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,571
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$875
UFC Fight Night: Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Niko Price · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Julian Erosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$345.24
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+283.1%+$662.44
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gabriella Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Lance Gibson Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+349.2%+$960.18
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-6.9wins-0.32per pick63cpaid-56.8%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$126.97
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$897.03
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,518.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$52
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.76
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$262
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$47.37
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$37.5
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+50.2%+$30.11
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+25%+$6.25
All 22 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick24cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$119.97
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+331.8%+$112.8
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+220.8%+$203.16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+270.4%+$189.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$132.95
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.65
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$500.7
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.6
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,358.56
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.17
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$312
LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$66
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$84
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+70.8%+$28.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$417
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$175.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+36.4%+$5.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Gay" or "Queer" be said at the Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs Nightblood Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.