TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolsterof T1, KT Rolster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$923,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$991,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $923,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17f1…af18backed T17c82,146$5,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,429.023775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed KT Rolster16c55,230$8,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,643.151,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked KT Rolster78c43,877$34,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,842.9636155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked KT Rolster16c43,443$7,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,353.3666437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed T147c38,331$18,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,015.7127735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked T132c24,782$7,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,884.082,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed KT Rolster34c23,650$7,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,668.181353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed T118c23,261$4,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,291.4938624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed KT Rolster17c15,181$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,600.4221137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed KT Rolster16c12,028$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,103.3354353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked T19c11,618$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.221,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03f…9429backed KT Rolster14c10,010$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,608.7414324.5%35 W · 108 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5511…5734backed KT Rolster16c10,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40024029.2%70 W · 170 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…55fabacked T10c9,066$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed KT Rolster16c8,647$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,263.5422624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed KT Rolster26c8,000$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.9819239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked T125c7,750$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.971,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed T117c7,056$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.3885442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed KT Rolster78c6,659$5,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.3316254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed T154c6,580$3,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,566.68938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed KT Rolster15c6,193$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,261.791,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed T149c6,123$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.6810030%30 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked T163c5,836$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.745959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…cb81backed T152c5,679$2,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked T163c5,676$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.225261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked T154c5,540$2,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,982.292,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed T110c4,730$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47315334.6%53 W · 100 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed T11c4,672$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.735448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked KT Rolster50c4,533$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.2214848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked KT Rolster48c4,500$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,33070456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed KT Rolster17c4,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,734.991,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked T148c4,334$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.077954.4%43 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T149c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9601,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed T174c3,980$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.0429240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KT Rolster15c3,966$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.271,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked T119c3,871$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.8195041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked KT Rolster17c3,673$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.253525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed KT Rolster53c3,596$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.9696250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed KT Rolster77c3,585$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.651,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed KT Rolster17c3,405$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.4686144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked T134c3,334$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.1282044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed KT Rolster12c3,229$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.21,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed T149c3,200$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5841952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed T127c3,066$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.511,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked T134c3,007$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.2719640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed KT Rolster16c3,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52043442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked KT Rolster25c2,816$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.676741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78de…b08bbacked T147c2,721$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.741464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed T147c2,700$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28144047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked T13c2,628$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.564641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed T148c2,585$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.7743151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c8…86b4backed KT Rolster17c2,505$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.0719157.1%109 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed T148c2,417$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.173756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed T16c2,414$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8221137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked KT Rolster15c2,387$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.414735.4%52 W · 95 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked T154c2,335$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.312825%7 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed T132c2,304$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.7860855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed T112c2,296$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7613037.7%49 W · 81 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a4…a548backed T112c2,180$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8548…e4c1backed T11c2,171$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.226558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+136.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked T11c2,090$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.813839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked KT Rolster52c2,001$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.3363458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed KT Rolster15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7006529.2%19 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked KT Rolster50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed KT Rolster15c1,993$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.871,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed KT Rolster16c1,984$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.322,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked KT Rolster53c1,957$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.5620150.7%102 W · 99 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed T148c1,897$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.676566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked T132c1,897$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.582,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked KT Rolster16c1,858$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.0329536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed T145c1,853$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.9214554.5%79 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed KT Rolster47c1,844$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.8685652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed KT Rolster53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.7815754.8%86 W · 71 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked T160c1,790$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.9373237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed T14c1,726$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8239246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529b…d7eebacked T150c1,694$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.932356.5%13 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed T139c1,591$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.1249549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25a9…7076backed KT Rolster52c1,575$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.2716844.6%75 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed T143c1,572$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.812,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked KT Rolster16c1,525$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.2525433.5%85 W · 169 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked KT Rolster16c1,500$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26667549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed KT Rolster15c1,416$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.498827.3%24 W · 64 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed KT Rolster76c1,398$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7567931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed T150c1,387$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.5582554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7332…e031backed T144c1,359$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed T162c1,340$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.619251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed KT Rolster17c1,291$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.5344335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed KT Rolster16c1,250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0502,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed T113c1,248$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3476142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b74…09c1backed T12c1,233$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed KT Rolster17c1,217$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.1147533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2669…fa0dbacked T148c1,211$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.282343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked T166c1,207$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.154365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…e255backed KT Rolster65c1,197$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.844650%23 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed KT Rolster66c1,194$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.229846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed T12c1,139$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.077435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed KT Rolster17c1,118$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.8432440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked KT Rolster16c1,097$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.0724227.7%67 W · 175 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed T148c1,066$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.5377545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed T119c1,056$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2311632.8%38 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.