TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolsterof T1, KT Rolster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,126 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x35a6…cb8fbacked T157c9,676$5,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,503.241225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked KT Rolster42c7,305$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.978444%37 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed T157c6,071$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.2817949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked KT Rolster43c4,567$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.9759248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed KT Rolster43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked KT Rolster42c2,539$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.0270456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed KT Rolster44c2,441$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.8248440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked T159c2,419$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.9932145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked T159c2,307$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.8263458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed T157c2,266$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.522,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed T158c2,066$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.4522624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba12…6a47backed T157c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.992839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed KT Rolster43c1,932$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.011,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked KT Rolster53c1,776$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.4364749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed T158c1,560$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.611,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed KT Rolster42c1,474$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.941,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed T160c1,336$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.1922536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed T158c1,201$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.5518347%86 W · 97 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked KT Rolster41c1,162$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.1214735.4%52 W · 95 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed T154c1,151$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.863946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed KT Rolster42c1,098$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.971,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed KT Rolster40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked KT Rolster41c909.66$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.812454%67 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed T158c855.92$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.0912137.2%45 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked T158c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46414060%84 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T157c777$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.891,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed KT Rolster40c725.36$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2217250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed KT Rolster42c687.87$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.1841749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed KT Rolster46c632.07$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.88852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked T160c504.28$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5782161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked KT Rolster42c502$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.421,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed KT Rolster36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed T158c487.4$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6922035.9%79 W · 141 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed KT Rolster43c468.85$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2496054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked KT Rolster43c428.3$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1311659.5%69 W · 47 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked KT Rolster65c424.42$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6532442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked T158c420.17$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.714848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbea…8e58backed KT Rolster46c418.97$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.241376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+53.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KT Rolster41c417.98$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.911,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed T158c406.61$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8313154.2%71 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed KT Rolster43c405.64$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.212,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed KT Rolster43c404.83$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7531661.7%195 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed T140c399.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16028843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked KT Rolster49c394.02$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1126448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed T158c373.11$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4192342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed KT Rolster44c352.09$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.481,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed KT Rolster42c344.71$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9348852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed KT Rolster43c314.45$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2380832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed KT Rolster50c308.07$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.579870.4%69 W · 29 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fde…9ab1backed T158c302.52$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.461844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked T161c296.89$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.126859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed T158c232.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7119055.3%105 W · 85 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked KT Rolster43c231.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1256341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked KT Rolster43c230$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.13839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed KT Rolster43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0239541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed KT Rolster36c215$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.63953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed T151c203.94$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1352045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked T162c202.28$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.417160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked T158c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4826155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed T158c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.487856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed KT Rolster57c163.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.82,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed KT Rolster43c157.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.491,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed T155c141.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.61,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c06…b98abacked T152c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.610152.5%53 W · 48 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed T164c124.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.525955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked T165c122.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.295152.9%27 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked KT Rolster43c112.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0111443.9%50 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked KT Rolster34c111.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6478050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaccd…7402backed KT Rolster44c110.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625740.4%23 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed KT Rolster42c109.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.850455%277 W · 227 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceab…25dcbacked T157c105.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked T158c100.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4913544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked T157c99.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9928655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e1…8b57backed T158c96.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed T158c90.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6418640.9%76 W · 110 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed KT Rolster44c90.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7916043.1%69 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed KT Rolster43c89.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2131352.4%164 W · 149 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc55d…9fd8backed KT Rolster43c89.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.217142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed KT Rolster44c88.79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1418555.1%102 W · 83 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked KT Rolster45c85.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2821140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c7…de4bbacked T157c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.711729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked T157c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7176047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069b…e8afbacked T158c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.746048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…804ebacked KT Rolster48c81.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5813849.3%68 W · 70 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9553…4998backed KT Rolster38c76.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed T164c71.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.814561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked T156c71.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-71.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked KT Rolster43c67.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4149346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85d…c659backed T158c63.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked KT Rolster36c60.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7744743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed T157c59.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.132952.9%174 W · 155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed T157c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.559647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed6d…d964backed T157c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.58326.5%22 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba0…811dbacked T162c49.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.91637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed KT Rolster44c49.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8286144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed T155c49.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0536048.9%176 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed KT Rolster44c48.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+83.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed T156c47.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7939450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9f…7e5dbacked T162c47.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3120463.2%129 W · 75 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked T158c47.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.599538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.