TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x045d…185dbacked Under38c3,044$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.0963458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Over67c2,840$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.9617250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over38c2,798$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.131,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over37c1,962$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.816741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under63c1,393$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.5518347%86 W · 97 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Under50c1,348$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.2894134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over38c1,267$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.42259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over35c1,150$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.544335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38029240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Over39c963.35$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9843442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under61c902.2$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.481,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over67c714.14$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.972,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under62c684.03$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5264749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Under42c632.17$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.535054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under71c555.3$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.511,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under64c520.95$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6626940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Over31c473.68$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.841,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb1…b580backed Over37c449.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.495152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under62c432$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.371,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed Under63c396.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.896936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under69c364.78$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0818653.2%99 W · 87 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Over30c355.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over36c265.12$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.187842.3%33 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over30c235.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9914735.4%52 W · 95 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Over31c205.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.755547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under69c202.17$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.677160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over37c197.75$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.176251.6%32 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under63c192.92$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3820249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Under63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4328647.9%137 W · 149 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over31c154.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.851,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under73c151.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2838850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over31c148.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1443442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over50c147.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.451,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked Under72c147.84$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5921859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Under69c147.21$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.642568%17 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under64c147.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9334834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under69c143.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4211450%57 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Under73c136.18$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.763560%21 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Over74c133.26$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.432157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Over37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.116864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over37c121.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2848951.5%252 W · 237 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over39c96.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5712834.4%44 W · 84 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e0…d131backed Under34c93.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+182.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Over44c91.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.264639.1%18 W · 28 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-35%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under67c83.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4938257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56d9…3a91backed Over69c82.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.241250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Over37c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8721140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under69c69.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.614561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under62c68.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.042,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…ab74backed Over73c67.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1916360.1%98 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under70c64.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2816352.1%85 W · 78 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Over33c63.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.428559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Under65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2112443.5%54 W · 70 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under69c58.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.118627.9%24 W · 62 L-13.2wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over35c57.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1841749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over36c53.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2335223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Under63c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54560%27 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over31c46.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under69c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9531650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Under69c40.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.555366%35 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over33c39.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1327248.9%133 W · 139 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under32c38.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.194850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1134…848fbacked Over38c37.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over62c35.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1627548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0543…f20dbacked Under76c34.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Under69c34.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.657252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Under63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4910766.4%71 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Under65c29.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2810844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over73c28.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.911,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Under67c26.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.735358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under69c24.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6126856.7%152 W · 116 L+1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e6d…2052backed Over71c22.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under64c18.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7640143.9%176 W · 225 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Under62c17.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.595442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb49…21b1backed Under79c13.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.761457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.