TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2aa5…ff32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,977
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1,225 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$96.25
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$152.21
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.68
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$256.41
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.94
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.86
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$109.12
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.08
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.95
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.85
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$46.27
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$148.43
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$52.8
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.62
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.04
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.53
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.92
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.03
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$80.51
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$83.81
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.37
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.37
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.77
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.85
Showing 25 of 1,225 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT23851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 238 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.89
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+210.3%+$121.99
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$73.39
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$21.42
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+182.3%+$45.2
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$105.77
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.98
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$68.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+168.1%+$48
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.4
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$44.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$42.15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$31.55
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 238 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 208 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.79
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.8
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.4
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.4
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$96.8
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.2
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.03
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$284.74
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$129.99
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$95.28
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.76
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.41
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$332.44
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Showing 25 of 208 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT18544.9%83 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 185 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.95
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$74.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$195
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.97
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$76.86
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$76.79
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$66.89
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$363
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116.58
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.45
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$80.5
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$84.46
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.35
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$67.06
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$64.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.04
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.69
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.45
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.45
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$100.49
Showing 25 of 185 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT8046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$381.99
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$414
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.2
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.99
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$45.15
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.99
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Jilin Northeast Tigersbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Ningbo Rockets vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$1,256.88
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$3,550
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,819Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+38.9%+$1,096.34
Raiders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,934Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+29.9%+$577.64
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+112.8%+$28.93
Rams vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$2,070
Steelers vs. Commandersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,948Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+168.6%+$4,970.68
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$2,258.48
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2024, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+1,419.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.