NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x795cf457372a694aa0e30de28a499ad2adbd2c7d6c754440fe69d3f1951234d0

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Heat, Cavaliers
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,728,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,773,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,728,597 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,552 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Heat	34c	147,053$49,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,998.01	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Heat	1c	100,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Cavaliers	66c	88,177$58,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,980.08	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Cavaliers	67c	59,590$39,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,646.2	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Heat	35c	52,300$18,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,305	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	66c	50,928$33,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,223.54	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat	0c	50,775$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.82	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Heat	34c	50,255$16,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,835.61	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Heat	1c	44,679$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers	66c	44,319$29,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,099.12	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	2c	36,214$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.43	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers	71c	33,325$23,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,664.2	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat	34c	31,000$10,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,539.87	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Heat	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92fe…99bdbacked Cavaliers	66c	24,000$15,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,160	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Heat	2c	20,374$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.99	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Heat	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Cavaliers	65c	17,160$11,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,006	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers	66c	16,887$11,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,742.36	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Heat	33c	15,000$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Heat	33c	14,970$4,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,940.1	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Heat	7c	13,758$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Cavaliers	66c	13,636$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,636.36	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Heat	33c	12,377$4,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,084.29	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Heat	1c	12,369$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.69	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Heat	0c	12,060$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.36	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Cavaliers	70c	12,054$8,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,581.12	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5f…ad2bbacked Heat	34c	12,000$4,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,080	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.4wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Heat	33c	12,000$3,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,960	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d1…cd88backed Heat	34c	12,000$4,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,079.98	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4c…6cb0backed Heat	1c	11,970$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.73	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Heat	35c	10,900$3,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,814.97	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Cavaliers	65c	10,899$7,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,814.6	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Heat	2c	10,794$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers	68c	10,452$7,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,323.74	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	16c	10,306$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,689.92	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Cavaliers	65c	10,299$6,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,604.59	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed Heat	3c	10,009$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heat	13c	9,852$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.68	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37ae…0a35backed Heat	35c	9,277$3,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,247	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a4…e48dbacked Heat	35c	8,550$2,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,992.37	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Heat	33c	8,358$2,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,758.19	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Heat	1c	7,884$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.84	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Heat	0c	7,776$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.88	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Heat	34c	7,500$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,549.97	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Heat	37c	7,393$2,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,761.62	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	13c	7,204$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.97	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x803e…2059backed Heat	34c	7,000$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,380	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf8…1bf9backed Heat	35c	6,306$2,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,207.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	34c	6,054$2,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040.95	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8a…1457backed Cavaliers	65c	6,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Heat	35c	5,940$2,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,079	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06b2…0c61backed Heat	0c	5,583$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…8bd4backed Heat	34c	5,569$1,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,881.38	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3d…c2e8backed Heat	35c	5,477$1,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,917.09	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+32%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf51a…9f88backed Heat	35c	5,461$1,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,911.37	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Heat	34c	5,379$1,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,829	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde73…93efbacked Heat	35c	5,347$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,871.56	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Cavaliers	65c	5,346$3,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,895.89	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…eddcbacked Heat	35c	5,250$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,837.37	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	49cpaid	+33%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b8a…5240backed Heat	35c	5,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf176…91d0backed Heat	34c	5,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Cavaliers	66c	5,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Heat	34c	5,000$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,689.98	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Heat	33c	5,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.97	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd996…6f3bbacked Cavaliers	65c	4,864$3,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,702.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Cavaliers	66c	4,850$3,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,649	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers	75c	4,812$3,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,217.64	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Heat	34c	4,800$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,631.98	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30cd…16fbbacked Cavaliers	65c	4,756$3,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,664.69	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Heat	35c	4,673$1,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.44	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat	21c	4,540$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.38	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x106a…3857backed Cavaliers	65c	4,521$2,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Heat	34c	4,444$1,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.96	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Cavaliers	64c	4,028$2,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,429.99	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x355f…77babacked Cavaliers	65c	4,010$2,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400.53	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbd…d4b2backed Cavaliers	65c	4,009$2,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,403.15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Heat	18c	3,875$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.49	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers	65c	3,829$2,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,321.65	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Heat	36c	3,744$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,335	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat	21c	3,604$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.48	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc264…fbe8backed Cavaliers	66c	3,601$2,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.43	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7514…9ecdbacked Cavaliers	65c	3,427$2,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Heat	34c	3,400$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Cavaliers	67c	3,312$2,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092.94	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75b5…b96ebacked Cavaliers	65c	3,200$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+72.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Cavaliers	66c	3,182$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,081.82	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cavaliers	67c	3,134$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.33	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…9573backed Cavaliers	65c	3,100$2,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed Cavaliers	65c	3,049$1,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,067.25	118	52.5%62 W · 56 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Heat	33c	3,030$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.9	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers	66c	3,000$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Heat	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.97	189	31.2%59 W · 130 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Cavaliers	66c	2,973$1,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.11	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Heat	8c	2,908$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.78	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Heat	34c	2,899$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b9…30b5backed Cavaliers	66c	2,894$1,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983.97	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ba…30b7backed Cavaliers	66c	2,863$1,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.37	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8164…7564backed Cavaliers	66c	2,858$1,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.78	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b2…95ffbacked Heat	1c	2,744$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Cavaliersthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5No won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Over won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-30.5)Heat won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event