NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd815d4db570d74609d5b98f02e496f0d6135b2610cd2a396b2072d610183b308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 54c | 96,212$51,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,954.26 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 55c | 51,773$28,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,422.38 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 40,619$18,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,340.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 46c | 16,623$7,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,976.42 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.95 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 46c | 12,813$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,919.02 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 12,721$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…2752backed Under | 50c | 10,000$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d69…00c0backed Over | 50c | 9,999$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 46c | 8,615$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.11 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Over | 46c | 8,043$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.48 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 46c | 7,826$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.09 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf451…ece8backed Over | 50c | 7,572$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…5838backed Over | 50c | 7,454$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…3feebacked Under | 50c | 7,291$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…a602backed Over | 50c | 7,202$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 46c | 6,957$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.52 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…8680backed Under | 50c | 6,786$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…ffe2backed Over | 50c | 6,711$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d47…367ebacked Under | 50c | 6,506$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…efbabacked Under | 50c | 6,347$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…38b6backed Over | 50c | 6,314$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4672…b870backed Over | 50c | 6,121$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…fe7abacked Under | 50c | 5,988$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…30e9backed Over | 50c | 5,988$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…eddabacked Over | 50c | 5,959$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c6…9479backed Over | 50c | 5,942$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…81b8backed Under | 50c | 5,932$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…dee1backed Over | 50c | 5,932$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…d346backed Under | 50c | 5,547$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 46c | 5,520$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.8 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8e…c94ebacked Under | 50c | 5,428$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…0d81backed Under | 50c | 5,311$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 46c | 5,267$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.98 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 46c | 5,232$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.42 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…2f68backed Over | 50c | 5,232$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…5c87backed Under | 50c | 5,225$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a21…1da0backed Over | 50c | 5,225$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabe…b482backed Under | 50c | 5,070$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…836abacked Under | 50c | 4,990$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…0fcebacked Under | 50c | 4,939$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 4,833$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.3 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…ff6abacked Under | 50c | 4,711$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…c6f1backed Over | 50c | 4,611$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…28cdbacked Over | 50c | 4,231$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f6a1backed Under | 50c | 3,657$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 2,662$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…0aacbacked Under | 50c | 2,615$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Over | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 46c | 2,359$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.81 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…0fb4backed Under | 50c | 2,237$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 47c | 2,148$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.07 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 46c | 1,958$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.32 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 1,814$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.3 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 1,809$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.65 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…d49dbacked Over | 50c | 1,756$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…9110backed Over | 50c | 1,722$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…3bd9backed Under | 50c | 1,662$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 1,644$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.97 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384b…a056backed Over | 50c | 1,440$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…b4a7backed Over | 50c | 1,244$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 1,244$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.2 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Over | 46c | 1,183$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.74 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 47c | 1,066$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.96 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Over | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.48 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,042$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f5…59c3backed Over | 51c | 1,006$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Under | 51c | 974.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…0bcdbacked Under | 51c | 960.78$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…5d26backed Under | 50c | 930$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 51c | 928$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.72 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 912.87$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.65 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 51c | 874.5$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.51 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 804.74$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.46 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Over | 51c | 779.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 43c | 594.52$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.13 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 57c | 546.21$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 518.67$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 56c | 468.55$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.89 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 46c | 460.87$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.87 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Under | 50c | 460$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…ef84backed Over | 46c | 448.54$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Over | 50c | 392.13$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…4331backed Over | 51c | 391.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 51c | 381.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 53c | 376$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 50c | 368$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…de20backed Over | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 48c | 319.52$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 48c | 313$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…42cebacked Over | 46c | 299.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.51 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Heat vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-30.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.