NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3173705372bcb36f12e4bf6dbbad6535710a51a54181f61ae07bbf5f7e6493b8

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Heat
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $50,254
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,254 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6734…2e18backed Heat	48c	16,885$8,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,036.02	74	59.5%44 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	53c	5,959$3,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,799.8	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Heat	46c	4,662$2,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,144.57	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Cavaliers	54c	4,400$2,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,024	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Heat	46c	4,345$1,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,998.7	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers	53c	3,110$1,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,451.95	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	53c	2,396$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,126.12	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers	52c	2,189$1,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050.64	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Cavaliers	54c	1,800$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers	54c	1,666$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.36	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Heat	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Heat	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.98	129	45.7%59 W · 70 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	52c	1,456$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.63	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa31c…bdf7backed Heat	50c	1,402$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Cavaliers	53c	1,400$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cavaliers	52c	1,058$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.69	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Cavaliers	52c	1,041$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.68	176	37.5%66 W · 110 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Cavaliers	52c	934.07$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.35	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Heat	48c	840.51$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.44	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Heat	46c	811.01$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cavaliers	52c	800$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Cavaliers	52c	800$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x453d…86aabacked Cavaliers	53c	751.25$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Cavaliers	53c	667.17$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.57	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	47c	663.17$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.69	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Cavaliers	55c	657.74$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.15	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	6c	626.35$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.69	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x242f…fe5fbacked Cavaliers	55c	618.18$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.18	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+89.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Heat	47c	603$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.79	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Cavaliers	53c	600.53$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.47	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Heat	45c	557.78$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cavaliers	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Heat	48c	499.98$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.99	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Heat	45c	455.36$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.32	293	44.4%130 W · 163 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Cavaliers	53c	429.59$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.91	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Heat	45c	391$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.95	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Heat	45c	372.95$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.83	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers	52c	347.43$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.77	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	53c	311.85$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.92	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Heat	45c	310.55$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.75	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Cavaliers	52c	306$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.88	184	38.6%71 W · 113 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Cavaliers	44c	293.57$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.84	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Cavaliers	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Cavaliers	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat	47c	270$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.74	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7438…b102backed Cavaliers	53c	264.15$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.15	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Cavaliers	78c	198.72$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.72	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Cavaliers	52c	194.32$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.27	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Cavaliers	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Cavaliers	54c	192$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.32	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Cavaliers	52c	190.47$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.43	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cd…221cbacked Heat	48c	178$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Heat	47c	177.52$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.43	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x226b…fbcbbacked Heat	48c	176$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.48	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490d…45fcbacked Heat	47c	175$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e3…3952backed Heat	47c	175$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Cavaliers	53c	170$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.9	428	53%227 W · 201 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99ba…cfa9backed Heat	47c	167$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e32…2d9fbacked Heat	48c	155$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Heat	46c	154$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.83	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Heat	46c	153.98$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.83	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Heat	47c	148.94$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+9.5wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfcc1…9cc7backed Heat	48c	148$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Cavaliers	52c	144.23$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.23	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe69b…413dbacked Heat	48c	142$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.16	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbf…1a48backed Heat	47c	133$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.51	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	52c	128.25$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.14	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Cavaliers	51c	116.61$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.14	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Cavaliers	52c	114.99$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.2	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Heat	48c	104$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Heat	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d69…6f27backed Cavaliers	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Cavaliers	52c	97.85$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.97	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers	52c	88.75$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.6	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68aa…9a7dbacked Cavaliers	52c	84$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.32	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Cavaliers	53c	81.62$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.36	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Cavaliers	53c	81.62$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.36	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Heat	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Cavaliers	52c	77$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.96	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ee…d3d0backed Heat	53c	74.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.56	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ec6…6b73backed Cavaliers	53c	74$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.78	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28d2…67f0backed Cavaliers	54c	73$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.58	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Cavaliers	55c	72.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde7a…8e5fbacked Cavaliers	53c	65$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ef…4c6abacked Cavaliers	53c	61$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.67	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	51cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc7c…e312backed Cavaliers	54c	61$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.06	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	60cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd454…0533backed Cavaliers	54c	61$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.06	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+64%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Cavaliers	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fe…6382backed Cavaliers	52c	59$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.32	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Heat	47c	58.88$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.67	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Cavaliers	52c	58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.84	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Cavaliers	52c	58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.84	273	45.1%123 W · 150 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Cavaliers	52c	58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.84	329	47.4%156 W · 173 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Cavaliers	52c	57.36$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.36	319	55.2%176 W · 143 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd13…62fbbacked Cavaliers	53c	54.9$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.06	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Heat	46c	54.48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.06	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe4…8324backed Cavaliers	53c	54$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.38	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+3.3wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+87.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x418c…901abacked Cavaliers	53c	54$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Heat	47c	53.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5No won
Heat vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5Over won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Over won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-30.5)Heat won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event