TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x43ab…b6ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT8555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,506Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$1,992.79
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,800
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,432.5
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,879.22
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,807Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$1,653.45
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+41%+$366.48
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,979Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,904.37
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,175.48
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$943.44
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,622Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,239.26
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,713.25
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,612.52
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$989.99
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.52
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$201.91
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,042Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,361.13
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.43
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,047.36
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,283.17
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,586Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$3,501.41
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,578.28
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$181.19
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,100
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,952
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,188
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$2,000
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,080
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+73%+$1,839.83
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,942Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+37%+$1,458
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$648.58
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.5%+$253.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+54%+$1,224.43
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,323.11
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,600
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,732Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+71.5%+$1,952.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$960
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,760
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,727.43
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$424.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State vs. Iowa Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$92.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,700
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.