CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd20d46fbcba9b5a6fef1316984c424454ce53c64673d67b461c706203d62f825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,935,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,060,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,935,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,075 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 252,473$90,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,819.63 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 235,015$150,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,955.61 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 200,264$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 85,699$29,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,626.3 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed MOUZ | 64c | 76,934$49,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,489.31 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed MOUZ | 49c | 53,933$26,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,465.76 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…e532backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 50,553$29,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,537.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 47,837$17,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,221.14 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed MOUZ | 64c | 40,032$25,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,450.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 40,000$14,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,199.86 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed MOUZ | 44c | 34,215$14,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,277.75 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 30,810$11,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,096.04 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 30,037$17,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,215.56 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked MOUZ | 42c | 28,976$12,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,806.19 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked MOUZ | 65c | 27,538$17,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,638.46 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked MOUZ | 72c | 27,327$19,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,605.6 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,249.97 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…62e6backed MOUZ | 63c | 23,368$14,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 21,894$12,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,208.44 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 21,363$7,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,526.58 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 18,678$10,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,856.65 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 18,649$6,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,627.31 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 60c | 18,396$11,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,283.78 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed MOUZ | 65c | 18,308$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,407.69 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ | 57c | 18,000$10,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,679.93 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 16,566$5,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,693.94 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 15,893$5,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,124.08 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 15,684$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.78 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 14,611$5,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,291.38 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 14,374$6,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,587.52 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 13,756$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.59 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 13,398$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 13,358$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.44 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed MOUZ | 64c | 13,000$8,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,736.62 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 64c | 12,222$7,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.92 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 11,258$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.41 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed MOUZ | 65c | 10,495$6,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 10,407$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ | 62c | 10,056$6,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.98 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked MOUZ | 66c | 9,878$6,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.11 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 9,773$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.84 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked MOUZ | 63c | 9,270$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.29 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ce…6e30backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 9,098$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed MOUZ | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 7,741$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.03 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 7,579$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.93 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 7,407$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.74 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed MOUZ | 50c | 7,005$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 6,721$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ | 67c | 6,291$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.26 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 6,202$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.05 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…7d18backed MOUZ | 63c | 5,871$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed MOUZ | 63c | 5,749$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.6 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 5,647$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 5,569$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.91 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 5,555$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.21 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 5,511$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…97bebacked MOUZ | 64c | 5,442$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed MOUZ | 65c | 5,385$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.62 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 5,224$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.93 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 5,093$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.17 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…7e29backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 5,009$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 5,007$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.34 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked MOUZ | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 5,000$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.74 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked MOUZ | 41c | 4,525$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.44 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ | 68c | 4,505$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.95 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,233$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.17 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 4,218$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.63 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4304…1c4ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 4,139$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…0d75backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 4,023$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed MOUZ | 64c | 3,960$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.1 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.15 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,837$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 62c | 3,821$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.32 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 3,800$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed MOUZ | 68c | 3,726$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…34d7backed MOUZ | 59c | 3,690$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.73 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,675$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 64c | 3,672$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.58 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 3,645$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 352 | 44.6%157 W · 195 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed MOUZ | 73c | 3,580$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.85 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked MOUZ | 64c | 3,477$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed MOUZ | 64c | 3,419$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.69 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 3,397$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 568 | 22.5%128 W · 440 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…92b4backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 3,395$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked MOUZ | 65c | 3,200$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.69 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 3,200$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ | 64c | 3,186$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.94 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,151$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.39 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 3,086$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.28 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.