CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x749c86d5873c5e1ff3d846984a53a10fac76b4d53dea82ccf122165e228fc576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe183…62e6backed MOUZ | 66c | 14,090$9,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 13,555$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.67 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed MOUZ | 66c | 11,971$7,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.49 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 9,634$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.11 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 9,597$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.66 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…e532backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 6,575$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 6,148$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.94 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.96 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,930$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked MOUZ | 64c | 5,373$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.97 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 5,099$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 70c | 4,861$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.35 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed MOUZ | 63c | 4,800$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.94 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 66c | 3,996$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.99 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 63c | 3,902$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.12 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 3,800$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.2 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 3,545$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.72 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed MOUZ | 58c | 3,100$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,907$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…ce8cbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 2,389$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.97 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,363$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.85 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,289$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,222$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.84 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,206$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 2,100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,000$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.01 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,782$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…d808backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,775$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,734$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 1,687$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ | 77c | 1,667$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.18 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 1,663$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,568$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,546$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,542$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.37 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,537$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.85 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,341$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.38 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,250$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,211$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…9bf7backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,107$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,058$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,010$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 978$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 887.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 856.06$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 841.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed MOUZ | 61c | 801.98$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.77 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…60f6backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 796.22$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 63c | 779.98$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked MOUZ | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed MOUZ | 68c | 739.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.92 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 706.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 700.64$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 683.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 666.67$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1765…17febacked MOUZ | 64c | 621.73$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…3377backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 576.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 527.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 524.17$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b1…072cbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…ab0ebacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 480$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.76 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 70c | 479.15$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed MOUZ | 68c | 465$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 439.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 429.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 405.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 402.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 401.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 400$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 78c | 399.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 356.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…5d2cbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 350$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9c23backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed MOUZ | 63c | 338.53$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 325$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -9.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…14a5backed MOUZ | 64c | 314.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed MOUZ | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed MOUZ | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 287.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.