TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecc7…01e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
234
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT7839.7%31 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,085.3%+$1,160.89
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+204.4%+$239.16
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+275.3%+$440.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.43
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.71
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$81.11
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$103.58
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$475
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$485.43
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$187.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT283.6%1 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-75.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200.52
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+586.7%+$1,771.91
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$455
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.93
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+358.7%+$886.09
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$600
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+52.7%+$131.84
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+99.8%+$99.84
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+244.8%+$122.41
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+60%+$60.01
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.5%+$46.27
All 24 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$151.9
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$420
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+257.1%+$334.29
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+50.1%+$45.07
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+192.2%+$326.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$441.42
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+62.2%+$93.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$212.66
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+148%+$406.91
AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$300
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+96.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.