CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe991269ecbc259027b9f40a1cff06ca6c283b3f3e858b5e66320f0c2bb58b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof Liquid, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,590,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,664,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,590,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,040 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Liquid | 58c | 109,278$62,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,941.39 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Liquid | 60c | 100,000$60,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,350 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed FlyQuest | 39c | 85,029$33,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,870.14 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked FlyQuest | 38c | 81,106$30,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,285.47 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed FlyQuest | 39c | 75,941$29,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,323.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed FlyQuest | 38c | 59,825$22,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,904.39 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Liquid | 62c | 50,094$31,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,058.53 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Liquid | 61c | 42,605$25,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,989.34 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Liquid | 62c | 41,935$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Liquid | 61c | 41,734$25,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,390.62 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed FlyQuest | 40c | 40,754$16,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,452.25 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Liquid | 54c | 40,100$21,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,734 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FlyQuest | 42c | 40,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,199.92 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed FlyQuest | 38c | 38,590$14,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,826.1 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Liquid | 62c | 33,473$20,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,718.68 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Liquid | 62c | 31,830$19,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,734.57 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…d455backed FlyQuest | 39c | 26,954$10,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,437.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Liquid | 61c | 26,694$16,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,283.26 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Liquid | 15c | 25,277$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.44 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Liquid | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,250 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Liquid | 27c | 24,000$6,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,380 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed FlyQuest | 38c | 23,185$8,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,374.86 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Liquid | 1c | 20,428$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.31 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid | 34c | 20,038$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.78 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked FlyQuest | 39c | 20,000$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,249.94 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed FlyQuest | 39c | 19,231$7,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,787.36 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Liquid | 33c | 18,888$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.04 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Liquid | 49c | 18,000$8,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.38 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed FlyQuest | 40c | 17,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Liquid | 47c | 16,557$7,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,781.66 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked FlyQuest | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed FlyQuest | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,149.9 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Liquid | 4c | 14,154$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.55 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked FlyQuest | 39c | 13,000$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,929.97 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Liquid | 31c | 12,481$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.97 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked FlyQuest | 38c | 12,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,440 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed FlyQuest | 38c | 12,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,440 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…3553backed FlyQuest | 67c | 10,501$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Liquid | 1c | 10,303$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Liquid | 61c | 10,123$6,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,175 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FlyQuest | 68c | 10,116$6,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.55 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FlyQuest | 39c | 10,010$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.98 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed FlyQuest | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Liquid | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FlyQuest | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed FlyQuest | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.95 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…ab38backed FlyQuest | 38c | 9,750$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,045 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed FlyQuest | 38c | 9,205$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,707.1 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked FlyQuest | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.98 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed FlyQuest | 39c | 8,888$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.68 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed FlyQuest | 66c | 8,594$5,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.76 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Liquid | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Liquid | 61c | 8,081$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.31 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Liquid | 37c | 8,080$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.96 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…2bb3backed Liquid | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Liquid | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 37c | 8,000$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.7 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed FlyQuest | 39c | 7,759$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.31 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Liquid | 61c | 7,737$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.91 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed FlyQuest | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed FlyQuest | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FlyQuest | 39c | 6,700$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.46 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Liquid | 20c | 6,617$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.15 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed FlyQuest | 40c | 6,500$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked FlyQuest | 39c | 6,500$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…369bbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 6,470$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Liquid | 53c | 6,141$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FlyQuest | 51c | 6,086$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.83 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked FlyQuest | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed FlyQuest | 48c | 6,000$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.18 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed FlyQuest | 54c | 5,944$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.74 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed FlyQuest | 66c | 5,818$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.65 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FlyQuest | 57c | 5,716$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.14 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Liquid | 62c | 5,681$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed FlyQuest | 38c | 5,646$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.48 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…8ca3backed Liquid | 61c | 5,615$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Liquid | 35c | 5,585$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.36 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed FlyQuest | 39c | 5,555$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.84 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Liquid | 61c | 5,435$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.35 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Liquid | 61c | 5,410$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FlyQuest | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.08 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Liquid | 33c | 5,103$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.84 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316c…8da9backed Liquid | 61c | 5,088$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked FlyQuest | 38c | 5,000$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.94 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 4,979$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.09 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…76acbacked Liquid | 61c | 4,925$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Liquid | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Liquid | 62c | 4,909$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.78 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…35c6backed Liquid | 62c | 4,890$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked FlyQuest | 38c | 4,800$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.99 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Liquid | 62c | 4,593$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.38 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…36fcbacked Liquid | 62c | 4,577$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.93 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid | 51c | 4,324$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.19 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Liquid | 61c | 4,323$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.9 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Liquid | 34c | 4,293$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.78 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Liquid | 17c | 4,250$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.99 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FlyQuest | 56c | 4,071$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.44 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Liquid | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Liquid | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Liquid | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.98 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)FlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.