TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9c4…7433

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
467
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21642.6%92 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 216 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,501Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$2,423.62
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.48
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,931Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$5,539.22
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,639.48
Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,112.17
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,878.76
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.42
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,710.77
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$8,648.49
National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,166.56
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$337.51
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,035Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,288.96
National Bank Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$744.29
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.36
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarrobacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,000
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonsecabacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,821.26
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,710
National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,537Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+376.6%+$5,789.37
Canadian Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royerbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,250
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,880
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,730.39
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,011Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$710.83
Showing 25 of 216 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT13244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,531Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$938.45
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$379.35
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.01
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.34
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$210.22
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,884Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$1,186.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,325Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,365.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$969.15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.19
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,423Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$5,880.11
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,516Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$5,977.33
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$42.88
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38,384Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+39%+$14,962.68
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13,280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$10,467.79
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$785.69
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.96
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$674.36
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$7,613Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+390.7%+$29,741.84
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,139
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.02
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$6,086.64
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$34.37
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17,401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$4,386.65
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$3,235.21
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,623.7
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+207.2%+$1,332.28
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,546.02
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,872.77
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,659.72
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,506Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+218.7%+$3,294.98
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,668Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$7,366.9
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,574.41
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18,929Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$13,262.82
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$1,047.75
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20,358Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25,910.2
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,674Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$5,254.32
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,299.63
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$206.66
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$131.1
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$3,348.91
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,487Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,210.15
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,824.3
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,450
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,520.36
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,644.47
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.79
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,666.95
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.78
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$101.21
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,042.2
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.32
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$776.13
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+195.4%+$10,901.79
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,560.02
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$15,093.81
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,878.76
LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$868.8
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,848.01
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.48
LoL: Solary vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.61
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.88
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$3,969.64
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.56
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,796.17
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.89
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,410Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$2,306.81
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,623.71
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.22
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,875.29
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$937.88
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.69
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,222.6
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$1,581.64
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.24
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.56
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$5,177.72
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$20.86
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.19
All 7 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,837Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$1,709.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,840
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.