CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bafa64d0fc16f7eaf5283d36c512a70b5accbf29dc6d7dc315c73014eab0237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof TheMongolz, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,491,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,564,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,491,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 646 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed TheMongolz | 22c | 240,030$53,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,149.37 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed TheMongolz | 36c | 175,415$62,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,786.75 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed TheMongolz | 27c | 151,331$41,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,254.06 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 53,346$38,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,962.68 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed TheMongolz | 13c | 48,672$6,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,396.84 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked TheMongolz | 30c | 44,552$13,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,299.11 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 42,177$30,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,615.08 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 38,000$25,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,260 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 35,000$25,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,202.93 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 23,930$16,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,939.76 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 23,533$16,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,589.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 22,222$13,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,444.36 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 20,252$15,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.89 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 16,321$11,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,045.69 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 13,050$8,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,828.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 11,100$8,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 10,715$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.2 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 10,651$7,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.64 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed TheMongolz | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed TheMongolz | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.96 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…5656backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 9,418$5,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed TheMongolz | 22c | 9,029$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.36 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 8,562$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.7 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked TheMongolz | 23c | 8,184$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.85 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 8,072$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.49 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed TheMongolz | 13c | 7,664$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.24 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 7,480$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.43 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 7,200$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed TheMongolz | 26c | 6,948$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.47 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 6,777$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.02 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 6,710$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 5,934$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.87 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 5,556$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.56 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 5,452$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.74 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 5,275$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.62 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed TheMongolz | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed TheMongolz | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 5,000$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.13 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 4,951$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.43 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 4,892$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.91 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…21babacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 4,862$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 4,753$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.08 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,644$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.33 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed TheMongolz | 17c | 4,243$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.44 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz | 37c | 4,057$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.56 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked TheMongolz | 33c | 3,925$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,915$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.7 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,803$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.19 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,645$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.37 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 3,566$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.62 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TheMongolz | 37c | 3,510$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.52 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 3,444$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed TheMongolz | 28c | 3,347$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.28 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed TheMongolz | 26c | 3,318$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.71 | 333 | 27.9%93 W · 240 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed TheMongolz | 29c | 3,304$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.21 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 3,156$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.09 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,136$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.87 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 3,001$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.92 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked TheMongolz | 26c | 2,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 270 | 41.1%111 W · 159 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked TheMongolz | 15c | 2,671$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.02 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 2,258$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz | 27c | 2,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,140$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.04 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz | 24c | 2,135$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 2,117$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.1 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed TheMongolz | 26c | 2,040$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TheMongolz | 51c | 1,999$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.48 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…e314backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,936$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 24c | 1,918$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.15 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…ff64backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,905$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked TheMongolz | 28c | 1,840$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,807$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.85 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed TheMongolz | 28c | 1,790$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…dbebbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,624$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,605$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.49 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…1d8fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,595$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,553$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.71 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,540$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.68 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,518$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.13 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,500$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ada…36cfbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…bd96backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,492$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…0d30backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,456$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked TheMongolz | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed TheMongolz | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,379$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.05 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,375$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…d623backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,353$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.09 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.