TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b0e…0517

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT7452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.31
Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.2
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.72
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$719.8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.4
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$396
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.2
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.58
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.16
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.09
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.08
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$782.63
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.64
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.78
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$719.8
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.2
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.54
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.55
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$588.6
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$637.28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$818.4
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.78
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.24
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.4
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.2
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.1
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.6
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.2
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$526.68
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.5
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,392
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$999
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.4
Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$489.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$515.15
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$218.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$480
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$290
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,894Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$9,943.11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,825Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$675
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$1,835.34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,619.99
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$14.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$360
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$959.99
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.9%+$409.42
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$347.87
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.85
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$399.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+130.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+163.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$1,361.8
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaurbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,181.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.