MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396c671d5f43d443da553cecd9a2922ae6f3ef60fef77961d47c554241817409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 60,524$26,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,025.38 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 55,555$31,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,888.64 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Chicago White Sox | 21c | 46,135$9,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,614.12 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 39,060$30,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,158.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 19c | 10,883$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.39 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 9,855$7,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.53 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 9,072$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 6,386$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.9 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago White Sox | 0c | 5,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 5,004$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.28 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 4,817$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.71 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 4,604$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.84 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 4,318$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.77 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 4,083$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 4,029$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.43 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago White Sox | 8c | 3,966$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.03 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago White Sox | 1c | 3,660$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 3,438$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…9af1backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 3,350$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 3,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chicago White Sox | 1c | 2,810$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Chicago White Sox | 3c | 1,998$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 1,484$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.02 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 1,369$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.88 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 1,124$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,121$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago White Sox | 2c | 1,094$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.78 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Chicago White Sox | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Chicago White Sox | 7c | 1,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 975$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 973.57$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.84 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 919.96$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.58 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 14c | 876.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox | 23c | 841$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 669.58$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.62 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago White Sox | 19c | 566$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 549.61$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 16c | 545.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 500$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Chicago White Sox | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 477.79$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 396$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Chicago White Sox | 6c | 383$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 351.89$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 340$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago White Sox | 21c | 336.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 318.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 318$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Chicago White Sox | 14c | 316.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 312.94$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 286.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 280.82$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 280$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 271.17$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 257.71$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 256.87$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 250.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…663ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…0fadbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 227.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 221.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 213.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 210$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Chicago White Sox | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8411…b4c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 190.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…8868backed Chicago White Sox | 11c | 173.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…0870backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…c45cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…5604backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…4f00backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…3d9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…29d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 162.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 156.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 156.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 154.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…f0c8backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 153.25$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago White Sox | 9c | 152.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…486cbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 148.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.