TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea53…e1eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$295.52
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$180.43
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$99.11
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$125.71
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$111.19
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$102.3
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$261.05
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141.89
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$93.91
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$187.83
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$220.95
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Monterrey Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Hanlei Lu vs Vladimir Osminkinbacked Hanlei Lu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$102.3
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$180.43
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$640
Cincinnati Open: Elvina Kalieva vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.15
Cincinnati Open: Maya Joint vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$43.67
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$147.69
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$136.22
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$77.65
Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Istanbul 2: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Daniil Ostapenkovbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$16.73
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Yanaki Milev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$186.34
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$160
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$203.64
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$94.17
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+57%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Spread: GAIS (-1.5)backed Halmstads BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)backed IF Brommapojkarna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$18.39
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$13.31
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$136.22
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hailey Cowan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: LV (-1.5)backed LV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$214
Dolphins vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$136.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+70.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$36.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$7.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.