TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,310,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,202,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,310,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 565 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34dd…fd83backed Yes46c2,393,414$1,109,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284,069.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No53c1,000,000$535,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534,999.992441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes44c391,029$172,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219,016.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes42c347,678$145,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,810.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No1c196,022$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.731,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No53c186,528$99,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,727.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No53c161,250$86,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,0101250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No53c144,051$75,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,906.3218950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No53c143,217$75,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,904.835552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No53c110,000$58,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,296.7420140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed No56c102,500$57,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,400728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No55c101,200$55,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,659.987544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed No55c101,154$55,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,578.013234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No54c94,308$50,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,975.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No56c79,297$44,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,056.551457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c66,303$37,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,241.51,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No54c60,000$32,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,4005547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No54c59,943$32,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,369.251947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c53,051$27,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,881.486,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cbf…107abacked No53c51,068$27,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,066.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0e…2ee5backed No58c50,000$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No54c46,323$25,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,014.523540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3708…b397backed No57c45,290$25,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,671.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes47c44,447$20,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,556.727436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked No55c43,793$23,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,868.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes46c43,153$19,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,302.4476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ab…f844backed No54c41,434$22,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,333.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No54c38,209$20,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,663.637750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No53c35,500$18,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,8154052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x719b…30e5backed No55c32,850$18,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,067.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked No58c30,520$17,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,702.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c30,434$17,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,097.542,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No54c25,619$13,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,962.5616848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No54c25,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,50035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes46c25,000$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,449.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes47c22,970$10,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,174.021850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No55c22,800$12,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,54031944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No55c22,500$12,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,4501020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9166…5bd5backed No53c22,000$11,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,66010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No55c21,202$11,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,661.15356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Yes44c20,865$9,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,644.432060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed No54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No58c19,847$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,599.765160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed No56c19,701$11,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,032.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed No57c18,765$10,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,612.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes47c17,841$8,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,455.9218958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Yes47c17,500$8,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No28c17,238$4,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,794.551,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No55c16,000$8,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,859.931963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No10c15,878$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No19c15,561$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.618453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed No57c14,900$8,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,493366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No59c13,235$7,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,808.657635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a98…ef19backed No15c12,654$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.691513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes48c12,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes45c11,530$5,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,292.7185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c11,452$5,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,685.874,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No54c11,243$6,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,070.032231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf584…3979backed No15c11,178$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No58c11,000$6,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,339.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41b…cc4bbacked No54c10,950$5,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,91310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Yes52c10,621$5,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No1c10,560$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.731816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5002548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No1c9,587$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes51c9,415$4,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.1810042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No55c8,504$4,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,689.1655751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c8,193$4,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,329.5648950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Yes47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2401163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No57c7,828$4,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,458.0859247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No57c7,400$4,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2421637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed No55c7,355$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,045.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes48c7,156$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,721.021855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes44c7,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9203151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…8e89backed Yes47c7,000$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No57c6,951$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,940.649735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes46c6,522$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.817339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Yes44c5,970$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes45c5,698$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.782653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No2c5,600$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc42…6bd4backed No53c5,400$2,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,86210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No58c5,172$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.7618362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6501450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+124.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Yes44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8005100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…4ac2backed Yes44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ba…da22backed No53c4,895$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No53c4,820$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.364736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No54c4,630$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e5…c50abacked No53c4,467$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No54c4,380$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.21942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ae…46d7backed No54c4,370$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes61c4,340$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.3836462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No50c4,100$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.592334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.