TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56b9…79a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 50 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.35
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,710
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,608Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$4,992
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,340.09
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+237.8%+$1,276
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.34
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,240.7
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,032
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.2
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,877Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$7,183
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17,088Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21,748.72
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,464.2
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$754.06
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,072.24
Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.28
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.83
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+164.5%+$944.34
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$6,754.46
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,949.6
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,343.49
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)backed VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$990.57
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$6,324.47
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,050
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,999.5
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,891Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$7,979.4
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,484.44
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Dennis Buzukja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.52
UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Marina Spasic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$5,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,335.66
UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Santiago Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,785
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.11
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,750.82
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Muhammad Said · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$1,101.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.5
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.03
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$291.6
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,466Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$5,808.01
1win to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.7
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,048.31
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,620Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7,380
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,799.99
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$800.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,579.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.