TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kiwoom DRX Challengersof Kiwoom DRX Challengers, HANJIN BRION Challengers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21b7…c861backed HANJIN BRION Challengers22c6,387$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.6132234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c2,994$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.6828859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed HANJIN BRION Challengers34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers33c1,615$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.832532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c5…7205backed HANJIN BRION Challengers32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c965.35$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.3412226.2%32 W · 90 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers63c914.6$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.061,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed HANJIN BRION Challengers34c885.48$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.781,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c796.95$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9611750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c796.95$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.968047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c701.34$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5129738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers36c672$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9954934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers68c635.35$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3160855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed HANJIN BRION Challengers22c633.22$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5882836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed HANJIN BRION Challengers35c587.11$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.250145.7%229 W · 272 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers65c569.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.491,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers35c532.22$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.451,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers35c480$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.990537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c431.05$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.564454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers62c396.35$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.931,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed HANJIN BRION Challengers34c333$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.371,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HANJIN BRION Challengers38c327$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.523,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked HANJIN BRION Challengers55c302.17$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16535642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers70c299.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9939251.3%201 W · 191 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers33c299.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9960243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c269.78$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.512,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers65c230$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.535045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed HANJIN BRION Challengers15c221.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9597854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed HANJIN BRION Challengers35c213$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5525342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked HANJIN BRION Challengers19c200.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3738931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6646248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495c…c9eabacked HANJIN BRION Challengers32c185.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.42040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers62c171.38$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.681,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c171.21$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2125660.5%155 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c167.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5853047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2919637.8%74 W · 122 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c148.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8124446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5419…43f9backed HANJIN BRION Challengers35c148$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers59c134.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8340637.7%153 W · 253 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers78c128.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2621352.6%112 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fdb…7857backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers74c121.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.898373.5%61 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9454…9abcbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers72c118.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6121166.4%140 W · 71 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed HANJIN BRION Challengers31c118$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.761,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3e6…8532backed HANJIN BRION Challengers30c117.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516142.2%68 W · 93 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c111.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6122043.6%96 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed HANJIN BRION Challengers33c108.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3334448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers77c107.36$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.652,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c104.51$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.499147.3%43 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers74c103.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4110058%58 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked HANJIN BRION Challengers34c101.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7411759.8%70 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed HANJIN BRION Challengers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012741.7%53 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked HANJIN BRION Challengers32c97.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.768641.9%36 W · 50 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c89.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5523146.8%108 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c84.59$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.339652%206 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers21c80.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8411637.1%43 W · 73 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers57c79.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5538555.1%212 W · 173 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers61c78.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.546349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers33c76.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5537343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6355145%248 W · 303 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5314546.9%68 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2004…cb6fbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers35c73.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2623760.3%143 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers64c72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9213739.4%54 W · 83 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.143837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c69.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.981,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc87e…cbc2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c68.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.188644.2%38 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers73c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3612960.5%78 W · 51 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c67.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1620552.7%108 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5c…2ba2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers68c63.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2426263.4%166 W · 96 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers79c55.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8552543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.877741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed HANJIN BRION Challengers34c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.519747.7%94 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed HANJIN BRION Challengers23c54.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.621,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed HANJIN BRION Challengers32c51.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4729447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed HANJIN BRION Challengers39c50.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e0…f30dbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers75c50.14$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x302b…7a54backed HANJIN BRION Challengers28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4537950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c44.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.861,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c44.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0245044.7%201 W · 249 L-29.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672842.9%12 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6cab…8de4backed HANJIN BRION Challengers25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013730.7%42 W · 95 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa729…1d4abacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers60c39.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers35c33.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.771,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c32.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.819350.3%97 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c30.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0239555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e71…2721backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.327863.3%176 W · 102 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers70c28.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.721,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4818638.7%72 W · 114 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers51c24.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.226154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7323264.2%149 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.66852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09f6…8a4fbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers76c19.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.852540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+64.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef8…a646backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.55100%5 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.