TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29c5…7205

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.6
Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Cbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+76%+$324.88
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.3
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.4
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160.7
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+321.9%+$48.29
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Abacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$94.41
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$719.99
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$102.7
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.8
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$200
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.6
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$770.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$269.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.