TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Global Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8660…93edbacked Global Esports40c24,526$9,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,833.2517948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nongshim RedForce60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00028955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Global Esports42c16,000$6,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,639.9733153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Nongshim RedForce58c10,687$6,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,504.753767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Global Esports41c6,639$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.9928143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked Global Esports39c4,349$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.2312652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Nongshim RedForce59c4,200$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.994131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Nongshim RedForce60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60019860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Nongshim RedForce59c3,550$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.54158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Nongshim RedForce57c3,131$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.1834857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Global Esports40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Global Esports32c2,802$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.831,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Nongshim RedForce59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0255244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked Global Esports42c2,452$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.656250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nongshim RedForce59c2,103$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.2393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Global Esports43c2,088$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Nongshim RedForce59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9916952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Nongshim RedForce76c1,834$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.810566.7%70 W · 35 L+10.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Global Esports36c1,810$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.861,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Nongshim RedForce59c1,630$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.2921457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Global Esports56c1,578$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9132141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Global Esports49c1,522$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.5132462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nongshim RedForce60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3325660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Nongshim RedForce37c1,316$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.138852.3%46 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Global Esports41c1,237$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50352155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nongshim RedForce58c1,231$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.9656551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Nongshim RedForce60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Nongshim RedForce59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4108640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfca7…5e0abacked Nongshim RedForce58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Global Esports40c875$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nongshim RedForce74c780.44$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7346326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Nongshim RedForce46c763.66$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.221560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x145b…5f8fbacked Global Esports66c722.77$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Global Esports46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Global Esports42c671.18$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.8918056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Global Esports53c639.6$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.994740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Nongshim RedForce47c639.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.319847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Nongshim RedForce80c637$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7314750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Global Esports40c606$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.41650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Nongshim RedForce47c601.04$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0422344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Global Esports40c598.91$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5220160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Global Esports40c555$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe3…eaafbacked Global Esports46c541.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b9…a687backed Global Esports51c534.35$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.76850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Global Esports39c525.2$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Global Esports39c512.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0619655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Nongshim RedForce58c509.76$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21463955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Nongshim RedForce61c502.66$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0426051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Nongshim RedForce60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Nongshim RedForce57c500$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6113743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked Nongshim RedForce58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Nongshim RedForce36c496.63$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.6432245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4e4a…e15cbacked Global Esports8c492.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Global Esports16c487.67$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.89439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Global Esports42c487.34$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510664.2%68 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Global Esports26c464.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016241.4%67 W · 95 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Nongshim RedForce59c456.87$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6124551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Nongshim RedForce59c454$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1418457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85e3…6dbdbacked Global Esports42c452.43$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.021618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Global Esports23c446.25$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7713951.1%71 W · 68 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Nongshim RedForce33c439.75$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5353442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Nongshim RedForce53c410.08$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6617642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Global Esports42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16886747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Global Esports41c385.55$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Global Esports40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca1f…202abacked Global Esports53c370.77$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.355749.1%28 W · 29 L-8.6wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Global Esports45c354.98$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.155637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Nongshim RedForce61c347.77$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9625556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nongshim RedForce58c334.26$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3911458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Nongshim RedForce61c333$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.875962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Global Esports40c325$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13025843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1d…2717backed Nongshim RedForce44c323.3$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.491435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Global Esports11c323.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3423836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Nongshim RedForce59c322.22$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2413661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed Global Esports20c319.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6314959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5233…eb29backed Global Esports44c317.88$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Nongshim RedForce38c316.1$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.743661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Global Esports41c314.32$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.873060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked Nongshim RedForce59c314.32$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.872751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed Nongshim RedForce56c310$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Nongshim RedForce60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nongshim RedForce60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12027145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Nongshim RedForce59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1235759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed Global Esports64c294.89$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Global Esports64c290.77$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0962156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Global Esports23c289.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2369722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Global Esports41c286.95$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.656043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c5…7205backed Global Esports61c280$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Global Esports44c275.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8826634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Nongshim RedForce36c275.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.066154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Nongshim RedForce36c275$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1762955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Global Esports42c273.02$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6722955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nongshim RedForce63c269.79$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.441,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Nongshim RedForce46c258$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.425030%15 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Nongshim RedForce59c255.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8762856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Nongshim RedForce58c253$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3360154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Global Esports47c253$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.39845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Global Esports40c248.19$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2190733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed Global Esports41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Nongshim RedForce61c242.02$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3925555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.