TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76b9…a687

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT9148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$133.18
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$112.61
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+820.8%+$820.8
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$334.78
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$52.67
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$760.5
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$437.39
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$165.17
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$138.04
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.73
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$384.59
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.76
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5715.8%9 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$687.76
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.17
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.98
Egypt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$179.27
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs 5star (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked 5star · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$106.27
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.74
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+174.8%+$47.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.53
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.85
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$289.66
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$300.55
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.31
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.75
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$136.97
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$59.94
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$23.12
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+532.2%+$458.12
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.59
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.74
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$950
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.96
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$44.33
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.14
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$110.11
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.6
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$340.09
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.68
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$813.65
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.85
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$165.75
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.55
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,985.37
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.76
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$187.91
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$141.41
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$72.82
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78%+$60.06
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,011.88
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$794.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,220.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Clement Tabur vs Henri Squirebacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.