TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs 5star (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
5starof Rare Atom, 5star
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87da…53d1backed Rare Atom43c4,030$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.0837646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 5star56c2,994$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.587,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed 5star29c2,256$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.521,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 5star59c1,872$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.462,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96fe…e78cbacked Rare Atom71c1,307$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.031650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed Rare Atom42c1,235$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.432450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Rare Atom49c1,104$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.4615346.4%71 W · 82 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Rare Atom49c1,049$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.0227438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b7…602bbacked 5star31c944.66$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 5star29c877.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.385,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa91a…ddacbacked Rare Atom43c828.03$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.21861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba1…ba0cbacked Rare Atom55c776.97$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Rare Atom69c730.15$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8111645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a0…f447backed Rare Atom71c730$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed 5star47c713.88$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.063043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed 5star46c559.58$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5319953.8%107 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rare Atom69c544.93$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.275,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 5star58c446.48$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.994,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Rare Atom70c430$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30135847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Rare Atom71c423.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005172.5%37 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 5star49c420.16$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.956,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked 5star33c402.62$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4111952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked Rare Atom55c395.51$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.539933.3%33 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed 5star48c295.78$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5565546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed Rare Atom54c291.19$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.268339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Rare Atom67c288.4$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.235662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 5star45c271$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.215,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b9…a687backed 5star57c244.86$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.274245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed 5star31c243.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8546243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked 5star53c239.69$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.852962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Rare Atom35c232.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Rare Atom50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed Rare Atom70c199.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010537.1%39 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Rare Atom55c198.36$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.138454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked 5star30c193.14$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.234140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31c…14b5backed 5star53c188.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed 5star43c183.69$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.717546.3%81 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f0…0c9fbacked 5star28c176.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.571668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Rare Atom49c173$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1617044.1%75 W · 95 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed 5star50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8533146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed 5star50c169$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.822,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed 5star44c157.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9310956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…4b77backed 5star54c153.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.75545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Rare Atom70c142.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8546555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Rare Atom47c141.01$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.513,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Rare Atom59c140$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.872,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Rare Atom72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3b…2921backed Rare Atom45c135.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.232065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Rare Atom70c134.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.422,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Rare Atom39c125.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4955749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked 5star30c123.37$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3627940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed 5star31c120.88$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8811745.3%53 W · 64 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Rare Atom67c119$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7315436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked 5star42c118.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.967245.8%33 W · 39 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39df…6edfbacked 5star31c117.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.972236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked 5star45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1135449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Rare Atom55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed 5star51c98.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9315349.7%76 W · 77 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Rare Atom15c98.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87837.2%29 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Rare Atom47c94.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.142,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…2793backed 5star53c94.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked 5star43c87.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.155853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 5star45c87.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.893,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed 5star30c86.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5816847.6%80 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Rare Atom50c86.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0220447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed 5star50c85.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8448851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 5star60c85.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.91,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Rare Atom35c83.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4810541%43 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda29…f4b8backed 5star45c83.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.112250%11 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Rare Atom46c81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0412348.8%60 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed 5star30c79.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.798655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Rare Atom50c77.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.169339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed Rare Atom45c77.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5918951.3%97 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rare Atom40c74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.333,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7a…b8bdbacked 5star56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.437068.6%48 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed 5star79c69.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.519035.8%68 W · 122 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Rare Atom53c65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.752,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb347…84b4backed 5star79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.294273.8%31 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5ee…a0bbbacked Rare Atom64c61.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Rare Atom71c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.65248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rare Atom57c59.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.061,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Rare Atom26c59.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.399043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Rare Atom47c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5845748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Rare Atom70c58.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414271.4%30 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Rare Atom46c56.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1716651.8%86 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Rare Atom53c56.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba9…4cb7backed Rare Atom47c50.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5427…94c0backed 5star56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 5star62c48.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf066…3349backed 5star65c48.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.073253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked 5star51c48.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.799938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rare Atom48c48.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.062,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed 5star38c48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5688330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Rare Atom66c45.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3466851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Rare Atom44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.839038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a70…5550backed 5star76c43.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+81.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Rare Atom69c39.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4575833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed 5star43c38.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5569445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Rare Atom70c37.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4310560%63 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 5star49c37.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.125,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.