TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Pcific Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Pcific Esports12c21,136$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.9440945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked Pcific Esports18c6,460$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-77.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Pcific Esports17c4,945$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.692948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Pcific Esports29c4,728$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.0129255.8%163 W · 129 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pcific Esports19c4,471$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.885246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Pcific Esports18c3,900$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70242035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports74c3,307$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.5168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports79c3,146$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.8553159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Pcific Esports18c3,021$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.83650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606e…ce83backed Pcific Esports5c2,911$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked Pcific Esports32c2,317$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.523132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Pcific Esports15c2,000$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.132445.4%147 W · 177 L+51.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+39.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Pcific Esports16c1,881$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.414736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Pcific Esports5c1,530$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6336446.2%168 W · 196 L+24.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Pcific Esports22c1,526$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33922344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Pcific Esports7c1,443$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.089737.1%36 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pcific Esports23c1,442$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2532462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Pcific Esports17c1,439$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.725855.4%143 W · 115 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Pcific Esports19c1,250$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.59737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports79c1,200$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9678562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed Pcific Esports19c1,184$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.496848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Pcific Esports17c1,165$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.91,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Pcific Esports18c930$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.493248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Pcific Esports12c871.87$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.065532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports75c790.56$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.411,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Pcific Esports30c777.19$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1162156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Pcific Esports13c761.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025943.2%112 W · 147 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports73c710.75$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.611,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed Pcific Esports27c683.56$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1211738.5%45 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed FUT Esports70c662.92$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9940944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6908…d2f4backed Pcific Esports4c645.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed FUT Esports71c595.04$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.163262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports79c547.26$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.341,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Pcific Esports18c530.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.53253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Pcific Esports29c510$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4121457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Pcific Esports18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018940.7%77 W · 112 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…daaebacked Pcific Esports6c464.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2850%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Pcific Esports24c418.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Pcific Esports8c417.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512335.8%44 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Pcific Esports10c406.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.618020%16 W · 64 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Pcific Esports26c384.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022649.1%111 W · 115 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Pcific Esports30c335.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed FUT Esports78c327.8$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0132152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…e603backed Pcific Esports31c289.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed FUT Esports78c288.46$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.465343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Pcific Esports12c283.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.851,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Pcific Esports20c277.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8549455.3%273 W · 221 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked FUT Esports77c261.04$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.045556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Pcific Esports12c235$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9616420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed FUT Esports65c230.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e2…40b6backed Pcific Esports11c227.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Pcific Esports14c222.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4815347.1%72 W · 81 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed FUT Esports78c221.69$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports75c202.37$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0681834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed FUT Esports75c199.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3617654.5%96 W · 80 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed FUT Esports77c193.83$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.965347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed FUT Esports74c184.96$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0922455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc21d…50c1backed Pcific Esports25c157.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406470.3%45 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked FUT Esports78c157.01$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3420138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Pcific Esports10c154.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.79314%13 W · 80 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Pcific Esports18c154.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7427146.9%127 W · 144 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Pcific Esports17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Pcific Esports14c143.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Pcific Esports10c132.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2523732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Pcific Esports10c128.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.282441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2e…b387backed FUT Esports71c126.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.762759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Pcific Esports17c121$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5723055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Pcific Esports19c120$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.828241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Pcific Esports18c119.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.582544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Pcific Esports20c110.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.111,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed96…d594backed Pcific Esports25c103.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.972825%7 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed FUT Esports71c103$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.874040%16 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x145b…5f8fbacked Pcific Esports24c102.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012b…7c42backed Pcific Esports30c100.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked FUT Esports79c100.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.072763%17 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Pcific Esports24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.139047.9%187 W · 203 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Pcific Esports16c99.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4739350.9%200 W · 193 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Pcific Esports30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.825347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pcific Esports18c99.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.884337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff2…149bbacked Pcific Esports19c89.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Pcific Esports13c89.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Pcific Esports18c88.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1122539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked FUT Esports70c85.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.119455.3%52 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Pcific Esports24c81.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Pcific Esports16c80.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0177929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4967…340bbacked FUT Esports71c77.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.557163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Pcific Esports22c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.540454.7%221 W · 183 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Pcific Esports18c74.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3912550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664f…868cbacked FUT Esports71c70.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.64875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Pcific Esports17c70.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2228352.3%148 W · 135 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked FUT Esports79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b9…a687backed Pcific Esports30c66.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6059…2800backed Pcific Esports30c66.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed FUT Esports71c63.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.384065%26 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed Pcific Esports24c63.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510151.5%52 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Pcific Esports26c56.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6446746.7%218 W · 249 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e6…0ae1backed FUT Esports80c56.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.339100%9 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc60b…04acbacked FUT Esports78c51.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Pcific Esports26c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.186734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked FUT Esports67c42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8215833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.