TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x260f…6980

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT5532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$27.14
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$20.1
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$390.99
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.44
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked GIANTX GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$57.82
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.06
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$309.02
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Barça eSports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Barça eSports GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+106%+$266.22
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+205.7%+$480.37
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$22.7
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SEN Otters - Map 2 Winnerbacked SEN Otters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$91.14
Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$40.81
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$379.71
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.64
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$27.83
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+440.5%+$220.27
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+327.9%+$98.36
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+227.3%+$909.23
France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+189.6%+$549.87
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.16
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$386.84
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.