TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Erling Haaland: 5+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,713 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3abd…855dbacked Yes33c1,513$500 inLost-$5002326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No68c1,199$810 inWon+$389.451,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No67c999.98$670 inWon+$329.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes31c863.77$268 inLost-$267.772,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed No69c700$483 inWon+$217771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf4b…fe64backed Yes31c374.21$116 inLost-$116.012025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No67c199.99$134 inWon+$6628873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4dd…39e4backed Yes33c158.1$52 inLost-$52.175042%21 W · 29 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No67c114$76 inWon+$37.623,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc99d…93b0backed Yes34c108.12$37 inLost-$36.761435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No66c99.88$66 inWon+$33.72,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2216…5a86backed Yes32c93.51$30 inLost-$302722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Yes33c60$20 inLost-$19.83122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Yes32c46.88$15 inLost-$1510837%40 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed No68c44.03$30 inWon+$14.099563.2%60 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf956…2ec2backed No75c20$15 inWon+$54219%8 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No68c15$10 inWon+$4.845472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4793…a932backed No69c15$10 inWon+$4.653964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.