TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 3+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,416 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf17a…fa3abacked No35c2,643$925 inWon+$1,717.9916260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes65c923.08$600 inLost-$60017736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes65c769.23$500 inLost-$5007867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Yes65c499.99$325 inLost-$324.996150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No39c405.15$156 inWon+$249.1637350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x69e4…14e7backed Yes65c192.31$125 inLost-$1252437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Yes67c100$67 inLost-$6723429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes65c100$65 inLost-$6526836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c3…72a8backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost-$5012544%55 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes58c81.69$47 inLost-$47.3831554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c70.38$43 inLost-$43.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes65c63.49$41 inLost-$41.271,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No35c59.71$21 inWon+$38.861,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63e6…ea35backed No41c48.78$20 inWon+$28.7812549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c7…6dc4backed No43c46.16$20 inWon+$26.163658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb783…48c3backed Yes67c44.78$30 inLost-$303828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa882…e517backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost-$2016442.1%69 W · 95 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb3…2d0ebacked Yes58c31.15$18 inLost-$17.958936%32 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes65c30.77$20 inLost-$2023062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No41c29.94$12 inWon+$17.812,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Yes58c25.86$15 inLost-$159947.5%47 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e7…4aebbacked Yes65c21.38$14 inLost-$142352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes65c18.86$12 inLost-$12.263,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.