Harry Kane: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x147d3f41bcf51e1c94bf7f67d167f35fcdd36d93fbe7bcdddd64be7285b84dba

Rebuilt 44 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $74,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,615 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes	15c	26,901$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes	15c	3,008$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.22	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes	16c	3,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	17c	3,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4af…8328backed Yes	15c	1,227$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.1	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	16c	1,153$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.24	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes	11c	1,100$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	142	31%44 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes	16c	999.99$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	176	25%44 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	17c	999.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…9c27backed Yes	16c	937.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef7…85ecbacked Yes	15c	900$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+41%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes	16c	618.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes	14c	483.18$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.02	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes	11c	419.67$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.98	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	396.87$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.97	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	16.3%26 W · 134 L	-11.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes	15c	320$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd5…4e2bbacked Yes	15c	311.27$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes	6c	303.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.22	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	17c	300$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes	15c	286.67$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe700…3614backed Yes	15c	266.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.18per pick	26cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Yes	8c	243.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	329	59.6%196 W · 133 L	+21.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes	15c	179.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…de68backed Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+87.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba5…6b9abacked Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes	14c	169.57$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.74	190	31.6%60 W · 130 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	114	14.9%17 W · 97 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x218e…95d3backed Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	122	36.1%44 W · 78 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…027bbacked Yes	15c	154.2$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.13	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	259	45.2%117 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9949…3f3bbacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	15c	142.18$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc0…3910backed Yes	14c	139.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes	15c	135.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	534	36%192 W · 342 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07db…29e4backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9692…7d0fbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc923…95e9backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	128	39.1%50 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	21.3%17 W · 63 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1610…c11abacked Yes	15c	126.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6a…4694backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes	15c	120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3c…971fbacked Yes	17c	118.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd511…aa30backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	175	6.3%11 W · 164 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b0…09b8backed Yes	17c	117.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…b31cbacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	15c	106.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9672…4289backed Yes	17c	105.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+19%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0e5b…4ef4backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	333	45.3%151 W · 182 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf29…e395backed Yes	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	-7.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	79c	99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.72	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…788abacked Yes	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Yes	15c	93$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	232	27.6%64 W · 168 L	-12.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3373…3716backed Yes	15c	92.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes	12c	88$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.23	96	8.3%8 W · 88 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+73.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	17c	82.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0398…5e96backed Yes	18c	82.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2814…b0ccbacked Yes	15c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	177	38.4%68 W · 109 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ee…150abacked Yes	16c	80$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Harry Kane: 2+ goalsthis page
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shotsYes won
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shotsYes won
Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goalsYes won
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsYes won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ assistsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsYes won
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ shotsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
Declan Rice: 4+ shotsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 3+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsNo won
Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 2+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
Jordan Pickford: 3+ savesYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Harry Kane: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event