TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e9f…de68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+87.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+549.4%+$1,098.7
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.43
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+703.5%+$1,233.9
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$167.6
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.85
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$1,200
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.79
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.45
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.83
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$38.22
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$337.02
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45.51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$152.6
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$487.63
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$686.14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$143.5
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+31.3%+$172.58
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.01
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$301.85
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$248.79
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+70.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-63.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-67.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-55.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-11.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Avalanche vs. Sabresbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+182.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+160%+$276.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+37.8%+$211
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State vs. Wake Forestbacked North Carolina State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+32.9%+$352.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.