NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e1f48ac8e175fe550a445ac77dbc27c728aa0723649e07e62f0a81a1274288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Sabres | 38c | 199,627$75,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,858.19 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Avalanche | 62c | 115,637$71,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,942.06 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche | 64c | 42,400$27,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,158.45 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Avalanche | 62c | 30,637$18,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,641.98 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 60c | 16,113$9,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,371.49 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Avalanche | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Sabres | 40c | 14,983$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,993.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres | 21c | 13,485$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.46 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…8f51backed Avalanche | 79c | 12,425$9,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 38c | 11,792$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.11 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 11c | 10,418$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.37 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 62c | 10,198$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.86 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 17c | 9,058$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.83 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Avalanche | 61c | 8,865$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Sabres | 38c | 8,099$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.57 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Sabres | 37c | 7,500$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Sabres | 38c | 7,500$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.98 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 62c | 7,261$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 19c | 5,233$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.15 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Avalanche | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Sabres | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Sabres | 31c | 4,604$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.45 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabres | 37c | 4,093$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.26 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabres | 38c | 4,087$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.06 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4a02backed Avalanche | 63c | 3,800$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…d51abacked Sabres | 38c | 3,800$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sabres | 38c | 3,594$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.79 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Sabres | 38c | 3,345$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.99 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Avalanche | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sabres | 38c | 3,160$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.36 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.84 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Avalanche | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Avalanche | 62c | 2,329$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.7 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Sabres | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,995$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…2219backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Sabres | 40c | 1,915$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,781$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.83 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1503…3915backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,697$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,655$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.85 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Sabres | 39c | 1,650$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Sabres | 39c | 1,640$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…88e7backed Sabres | 43c | 1,640$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Avalanche | 75c | 1,607$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 11c | 1,582$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,559$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Sabres | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Avalanche | 62c | 1,536$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.68 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0d…e13bbacked Sabres | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…c1bfbacked Sabres | 38c | 1,208$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked Avalanche | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Sabres | 38c | 1,191$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,189$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.82 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,148$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.77 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Sabres | 24c | 1,121$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…fc50backed Sabres | 38c | 1,121$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,118$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.08 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres | 38c | 1,111$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.1 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Sabres | 39c | 1,048$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sabres | 38c | 1,022$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.27 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Avalanche | 61c | 926.86$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.2 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Avalanche | 63c | 850.4$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Avalanche | 61c | 839.07$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.07 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche | 79c | 837.18$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.88 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres | 37c | 817.96$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.64 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Sabres | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Sabres | 32c | 800$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Sabres | 38c | 800$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Sabres | 27c | 799.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Avalanche | 61c | 799.98$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Avalanche | 79c | 758.68$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.78 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…8447backed Sabres | 39c | 747.05$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.35 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc777…147bbacked Avalanche | 62c | 746.98$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabres | 38c | 704.14$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.57 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Sabres | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Avalanche | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eed…a6ffbacked Sabres | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…a77fbacked Sabres | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…66c9backed Avalanche | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Sabres | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb312…843dbacked Avalanche | 63c | 650$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Avalanche | 77c | 649.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Avalanche | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…cf2ebacked Avalanche | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…ffccbacked Avalanche | 62c | 526$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…35e0backed Sabres | 38c | 526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…4ed6backed Sabres | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sabres | 36c | 483$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…a858backed Sabres | 41c | 468.29$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Sabres | 24c | 465$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 41c | 455$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Sabres | 25c | 445.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 37c | 444$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.06 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Sabres | 41c | 438$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Sabres | 37c | 426.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Sabresthis page
- Avalanche vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.