TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67a9…8447

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 63 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$106.48
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$184.01
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$267.63
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$130.5
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$84.34
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.86
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.36
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$182.81
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$128.89
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$244.08
Islanders vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.96
Blues vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$404
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$410
Kraken vs. Red Wingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$394.57
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$530
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+143.9%+$97.75
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+85.2%+$293.89
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$441.64
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$369.23
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$433.33
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$178.48
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$38.82
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$68.27
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+204%+$71.34
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.98
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$392.71
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$425.75
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$384.27
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$154.62
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$47.78
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$71.98
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$105.9
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+150%+$427.5
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$235
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$174.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.