NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Penguins

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9ffee0654ab000680566569af35949f22078ea533a7444e97efeedfd092d597

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Penguinsof Flyers, Penguins
Resolved: Apr 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,399,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,365,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,399,993 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 807 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Penguins	56c	631,974$351,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280,964.07	203	54.2%110 W · 93 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Flyers	45c	343,908$154,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154,935.04	164	42.7%70 W · 94 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Flyers	44c	151,110$67,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,999.59	566	49.5%280 W · 286 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Flyers	40c	145,372$57,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,753.58	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Flyers	31c	95,860$29,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,716.6	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins	71c	84,241$59,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,535.94	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Flyers	44c	60,462$26,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,877.85	243	49.8%121 W · 122 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flyers	44c	50,000$22,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,000	403	51.9%209 W · 194 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Flyers	44c	44,424$19,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,546.66	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Penguins	55c	44,418$24,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,951.79	287	49.8%143 W · 144 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Flyers	43c	41,841$17,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,810.57	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Penguins	54c	40,759$22,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,654.06	670	51%342 W · 328 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Penguins	57c	28,056$16,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,998.82	184	52.7%97 W · 87 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Penguins	57c	26,423$14,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,490.9	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Flyers	38c	25,334$9,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,680.34	510	45.5%232 W · 278 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Penguins	54c	19,491$10,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,965.84	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Penguins	55c	18,888$10,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,499.54	218	50.9%111 W · 107 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Penguins	56c	18,656$10,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,234.17	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Flyers	44c	15,680$6,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,899.2	485	49.7%241 W · 244 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Penguins	57c	13,493$7,624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,868.81	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Penguins	56c	13,050$7,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,698.04	403	56.3%227 W · 176 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Flyers	45c	12,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	166	56.6%94 W · 72 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Penguins	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,600	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	+10.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Flyers	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Flyers	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,399.81	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+4.8wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Flyers	45c	9,550$4,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,297.35	321	51.7%166 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Flyers	43c	9,392$4,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,085.68	594	50.8%302 W · 292 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Penguins	57c	9,338$5,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,032.91	334	50.9%170 W · 164 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Penguins	55c	8,888$4,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,999.6	752	51.7%389 W · 363 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins	54c	8,000$4,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,679.98	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers	45c	7,971$3,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,587.17	619	50.1%310 W · 309 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked Penguins	68c	7,593$5,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,429.73	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	66cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Flyers	38c	6,543$2,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,463.01	422	54.3%229 W · 193 L	+18.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc3…5827backed Flyers	45c	6,443$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,899.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Flyers	44c	6,000$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Flyers	35c	5,473$1,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,922.14	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Penguins	57c	5,453$3,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,334.39	270	44.4%120 W · 150 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8161…640bbacked Flyers	32c	5,243$1,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,677.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Flyers	8c	4,848$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.91	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Penguins	70c	4,734$3,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410.3	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Flyers	44c	4,688$2,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,071.94	336	52.1%175 W · 161 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Flyers	21c	4,575$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.53	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Penguins	71c	4,308$3,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,252.58	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers	31c	4,284$1,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,317.55	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Flyers	46c	4,035$1,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,867.92	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Flyers	32c	3,736$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.42	133	33.1%44 W · 89 L	-11.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-22%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Flyers	27c	3,547$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.67	112	51.8%58 W · 54 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Penguins	56c	3,391$1,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,491.89	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Penguins	75c	3,367$2,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.76	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Flyers	44c	3,333$1,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,466.52	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51b8…d25fbacked Flyers	26c	2,966$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.12	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers	48c	2,935$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,407.91	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Penguins	57c	2,719$1,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,177.58	228	53.9%123 W · 105 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Flyers	44c	2,500$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Penguins	55c	2,500$1,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,125	318	48.7%155 W · 163 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flyers	24c	2,496$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.28	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Penguins	56c	2,479$1,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,090.75	152	65.1%99 W · 53 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Penguins	66c	2,343$1,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.33	138	50.7%70 W · 68 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Flyers	44c	2,337$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.12	459	55.1%253 W · 206 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Flyers	45c	2,300$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.46	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Penguins	56c	2,167$1,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$949.69	77	61%47 W · 30 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Flyers	45c	2,127$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.33	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Flyers	32c	2,098$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.44	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Penguins	66c	2,097$1,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.15	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Penguins	75c	2,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Flyers	44c	2,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	204	50%102 W · 102 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Penguins	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Flyers	45c	1,998$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.52	152	45.4%69 W · 83 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Penguins	55c	1,992$1,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.49	836	52.8%441 W · 395 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Flyers	45c	1,990$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.44	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Penguins	73c	1,978$1,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.25	91	57.1%52 W · 39 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Flyers	43c	1,977$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.99	106	63.2%67 W · 39 L	+7.7wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Flyers	45c	1,934$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.3	892	49.9%445 W · 447 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins	67c	1,841$1,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.31	896	36.9%331 W · 565 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Flyers	30c	1,814$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.35	270	37.4%101 W · 169 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41dc…6bbebacked Flyers	30c	1,600$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.97	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Penguins	56c	1,592$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.89	355	51%181 W · 174 L	+18.9wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Flyers	44c	1,500$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	583	52.1%304 W · 279 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Penguins	66c	1,500$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+3.2wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+87.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Flyers	44c	1,493$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.08	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Penguins	70c	1,468$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.99	197	59.4%117 W · 80 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8735…162fbacked Flyers	46c	1,262$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.56	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.9wins	-0.33per pick	46cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x859b…691dbacked Penguins	56c	1,197$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.59	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Flyers	45c	1,160$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.18	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Flyers	34c	1,112$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.32	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Flyers	44c	1,100$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484	261	54%141 W · 120 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Flyers	25c	1,100$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	311	48.2%150 W · 161 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Flyers	4c	1,098$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.92	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Flyers	45c	1,074$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.45	207	56.5%117 W · 90 L	+10.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers	44c	1,040$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.57	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Flyers	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.05	148	37.2%55 W · 93 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Penguins	55c	999.97$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.98	338	37.9%128 W · 210 L	-14.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Penguins	55c	999.92$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.97	485	52.2%253 W · 232 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Flyers	46c	999.57$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.8	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Penguins	55c	982.73$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.23	63	71.4%45 W · 18 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Flyers	25c	968.26$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.48	138	41.3%57 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c7…5d22backed Flyers	34c	964.77$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.9	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	+14.8wins	+0.18per pick	28cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x99ca…3266backed Flyers	31c	956.33$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.46	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x946d…995cbacked Flyers	46c	946.57$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Penguins	68c	944.13$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.72	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Flyers vs. Penguins

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event