NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d3ef0ac53bd65df8bd37eb3f0248c3e26227132f7de36ceb925aafa78b4e50e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 39c | 13,653$5,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,324.85 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 9,680$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.09 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Under | 47c | 9,257$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Over | 53c | 7,878$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.52 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 7,051$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.73 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 46c | 6,259$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.69 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 3,786$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.51 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Under | 47c | 2,536$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.46 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 54c | 1,846$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 1,210$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.2 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.37 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.83 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 54c | 1,070$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.61 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 957.24$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.77 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 29c | 879.88$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 800.02$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.01 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 713.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.83 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 46c | 475.16$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 54c | 460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 444.73$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 64c | 434.55$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.47 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 67c | 414.61$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Over | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 22c | 347.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.22 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 30c | 332.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 327.17$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 282.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…8a6abacked Under | 29c | 281.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 48c | 213.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 199.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed Over | 54c | 181.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 45c | 181.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 54c | 175.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 7c | 166.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 46c | 150.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 54c | 148.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 54c | 140.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…bfb3backed Over | 55c | 139.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…8dbebacked Over | 54c | 130.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 71c | 128$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 71c | 119.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 69c | 117.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 46c | 103.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Over | 71c | 102.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…842bbacked Over | 54c | 99.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 43c | 97.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 70c | 97.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 78c | 93.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 46c | 92.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 47c | 90.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 80c | 89.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Over | 54c | 80.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 37c | 78.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 39c | 70.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5772…38f4backed Over | 54c | 68.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Over | 71c | 58.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 49.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 24c | 46.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 45c | 41.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 55c | 38.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Under | 47c | 38.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 40c | 38.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 60c | 36.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 70c | 32.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 60c | 32.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 67c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 47c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…ab7cbacked Over | 53c | 30.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 26.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 67c | 24.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 47c | 23.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…bfefbacked Over | 53c | 21.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 19.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Over | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 67c | 17.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 59c | 17.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5this page
- Flyers vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.