TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Over39c13,653$5,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,324.851,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c9,680$5,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.0913841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under47c9,257$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Over53c7,878$4,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,175.5216442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over54c7,051$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,807.7341842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under46c6,259$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.6950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c3,786$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.511,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Under47c2,536$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.463246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78033652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over54c1,846$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.711330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c1,210$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.22,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over54c1,167$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.3711245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.831,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Over54c1,070$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.6131148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under44c957.24$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.771,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under29c879.88$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.523,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c800.02$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0176950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c713.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8347256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c475.16$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1250251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over54c460$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c444.73$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over64c434.55$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4714140.4%57 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over67c414.61$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.231,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Over54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.482356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under22c347.13$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.221,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under30c332.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.471338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over74c327.17$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.492,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c282.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3614551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc61…8a6abacked Under29c281.39$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.74825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under48c213.39$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.695358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under58c199.8$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.41,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over54c194.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ac…6ac9backed Over54c181.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under45c181.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5626750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over54c175.03$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.522458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under7c166.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7231828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under46c150.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2324442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over54c148.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.363828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over54c140.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4413343.6%58 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9183…bfb3backed Over55c139.76$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Over71c138.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.264134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eba…8dbebacked Over54c130.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under71c128$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.122,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over71c119.88$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1138551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over69c117.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6828340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.410667.9%72 W · 34 L+16.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under46c103.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6686549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.592166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Over71c102.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.454447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fee…842bbacked Over54c99.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.481770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over43c97.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.274748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over70c97.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1616443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over78c93.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6541050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under46c92.34$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8622946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under47c90.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.673040%12 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529c…1809backed Over54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over80c89.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6765721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Over54c80.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7713442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under37c78.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.986134.4%21 W · 40 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over39c70.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.758368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5772…38f4backed Over54c68.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Over71c58.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.271250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.172850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc93b…9e73backed Over63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.559852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under47c49.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1818941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over24c46.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under45c41.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.868562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Over55c38.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.359647.9%46 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed Under47c38.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.443764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over40c38.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.235352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under60c36.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.443839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over70c32.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0860449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under60c32.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9638447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under67c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4534547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over47c30.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5614542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11dd…ab7cbacked Over53c30.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.235147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under60c26.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6492049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under59c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.661,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8af…9426backed Under46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under67c24.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0461848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under47c23.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.573066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b68…bfefbacked Over53c21.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over54c19.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6642558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over54c19.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52544%11 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under67c17.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.881,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under59c17.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.