TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80ac…6ac9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+159%+$158.97
Big Game: First Timeout?backed NE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+131.2%+$131.21
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+48%+$336.12
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$169
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+73%+$363.37
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+151.9%+$666.04
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$804.5
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$141.93
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+130.7%+$440.36
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. 49ers: 1H Moneylinebacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$41
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Raiders vs. Texans: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.15
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.44
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.95
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
BNP Paribas Open: Emma Raducanu vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Tommy Paulbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$80.77
Delray Beach Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$159.84
Fritz vs. Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+115.1%+$115.15
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+95%+$383.57
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$134.62
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+121.5%+$303.83
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25.4%+$95.37
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$241.39
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.84
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$287.13
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.67
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$500
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$225.64
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$40.38
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+86.9%+$86.94
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.5
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$96.89
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.86
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$236.38
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$80.77
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be between 10% and 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be between 5% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51.62
Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+77.4%+$38.72
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+241%+$120.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$804.45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+30.6%+$122.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$91.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$159.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nik Airball vs. Kristen Foxen: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Kristen Foxen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.6%+$81.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$79.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$936.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.