TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Coco Gauff

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Svitolinaof Svitolina, Gauff
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$780,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$805,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $780,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Gauff30c58,330$17,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,241.2334047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Svitolina65c37,802$24,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,400.52,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Svitolina50c34,615$17,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,471.981,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Gauff29c27,299$7,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,940.845737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Svitolina65c22,372$14,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,798.911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Svitolina49c20,007$9,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,303.5335247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Gauff57c16,853$9,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,583.968026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Gauff30c12,997$3,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,926.782,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Gauff44c11,729$5,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,105.6311530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Gauff47c7,425$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.141,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Svitolina44c6,938$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,885.069742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Svitolina64c6,794$4,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.1765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Svitolina45c6,718$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,706.2738133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Svitolina59c6,541$3,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.0881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Gauff56c6,251$3,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,475.774742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Svitolina45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30064755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Svitolina63c5,831$3,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.648,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Gauff16c5,433$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.316339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Gauff55c5,322$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.170652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Gauff57c5,000$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,826.874459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Gauff52c4,774$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.2528338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Svitolina45c4,331$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.6131647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Gauff61c4,109$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Svitolina45c4,103$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.7876146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gauff37c4,042$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.226,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Svitolina52c4,000$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9404936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Svitolina68c3,825$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.592,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Gauff50c3,805$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.4718756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Svitolina45c3,700$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.981,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf224…ea75backed Gauff24c3,672$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8811546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…398fbacked Gauff53c3,582$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Gauff35c3,425$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Gauff55c3,373$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.422050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Svitolina44c3,200$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.978031.3%25 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Gauff33c3,199$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.3195846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Gauff55c3,180$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Svitolina50c2,999$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.2521147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Gauff43c2,992$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30010640.6%43 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1c…a94dbacked Gauff32c2,900$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9272733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Gauff3c2,900$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762227.3%6 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick8cpaid+199.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Gauff35c2,880$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.1737854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9206…42a6backed Svitolina71c2,826$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.875858.6%34 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Svitolina68c2,633$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Svitolina46c2,599$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.6141645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Gauff42c2,308$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.462,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Gauff32c2,275$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.7430241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Svitolina46c2,265$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.031,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…05d8backed Svitolina52c2,216$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+60.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Svitolina60c2,158$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.353644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Svitolina46c2,026$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.71,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Svitolina66c2,002$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.6624060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Gauff56c1,972$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1081,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565b…ef0bbacked Gauff56c1,787$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.62366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Gauff53c1,773$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.9230530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Svitolina60c1,747$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.8725957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Gauff35c1,735$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Gauff58c1,733$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01314568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Gauff45c1,722$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.3128552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Svitolina59c1,674$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.921,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Gauff52c1,598$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83610440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Svitolina44c1,597$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.373050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Svitolina44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84037540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Gauff55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9923945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Gauff44c1,470$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Svitolina47c1,438$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.641,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Gauff40c1,392$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Svitolina49c1,298$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.6590854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb574…0a91backed Svitolina70c1,293$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Svitolina43c1,235$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.931,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Svitolina40c1,191$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.7875748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Gauff49c1,150$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5617248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Svitolina46c1,148$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.831,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Gauff48c1,100$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.916550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Svitolina47c1,072$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.0698240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Gauff56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a16…c0d5backed Gauff41c1,055$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.41931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…06e9backed Gauff42c1,000$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4183759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Gauff40c964.43$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.475731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Gauff10c952.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.257632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Gauff53c949.98$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.4911045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Svitolina45c941$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.545949.2%29 W · 30 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Gauff46c921.58$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42424350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Svitolina59c900.42$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.934,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Gauff40c875$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35023429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Gauff54c851.84$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Gauff52c808.3$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.221,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Gauff61c807.48$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.224844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Gauff37c788.58$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9916648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Svitolina54c764.52$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3822634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Gauff44c752.09$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.494,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Svitolina64c735.7$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.410348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Svitolina70c716.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.920748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Gauff28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gauff56c697.78$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.214,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9509…1d91backed Svitolina68c650$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Gauff56c648.07$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Gauff37c639.14$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9366831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…d11fbacked Svitolina68c634.5$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.718853.4%47 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9f…3314backed Gauff56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Svitolina47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.