TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x241a…a9c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST7248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+148.1%+$1,853.33
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$317.83
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$850.91
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$268
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Barriosbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$824.27
Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Busebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,273Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+80.6%+$1,025.58
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Kordabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$832
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Luca Nardibacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+84.4%+$621.09
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Learner Tienbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,517Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+157.1%+$2,383.32
Chile Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Thiago Monteirobacked Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$123.06
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,933Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+70.7%+$1,367
Rio Open: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+145.6%+$1,763.74
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$870.68
Delray Beach Open: Coleman Wong vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$510
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$561
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$629.03
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$302.58
Delray Beach Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Coleman Wongbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$744.18
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$359.55
Rio Open: Luis Miguel vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Francisco Comesanabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$605
Delray Beach Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,030.4
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$610.4
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Hailey Baptiste vs Alexandra Ealabacked Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$751.99
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$435.07
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$191.49
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$839.82
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64.5%+$96.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$844.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+98.6%+$169.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$126
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$392
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,945.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$476.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.