NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Devils: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f86bb8f36ea317203dd3eb57c059fc9faaaafed841535a39d5a29f6dcaf7f0a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,288 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Under	51c	14,420$7,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,065.84	670	51%342 W · 328 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under	56c	12,222$6,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,377.68	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over	47c	7,698$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	168	43.5%73 W · 95 L	-14.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Under	55c	7,500$4,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,370.05	135	53.3%72 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	53c	7,016$3,738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,277.55	793	50.1%397 W · 396 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under	55c	6,463$3,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,908.26	225	50.2%113 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over	49c	6,030$2,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,954.7	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	49c	5,273$2,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,583.99	332	43.7%145 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	44c	4,505$1,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.07	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Over	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under	51c	3,916$1,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,919	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over	49c	3,061$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over	48c	3,061$1,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468.88	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	46c	2,649$1,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,226.04	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	47c	2,586$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.33	1,948	49.4%962 W · 986 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	53c	2,022$1,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.5	619	53.8%333 W · 286 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Over	46c	2,007$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.1	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-6.3wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over	45c	1,687$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.27	642	42.2%271 W · 371 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	45c	1,500$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	360	38.6%139 W · 221 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	44c	1,500$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.97	919	45.6%419 W · 500 L	-27.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	47c	1,117$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	1,230	53.7%661 W · 569 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	47c	1,077$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.95	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over	46c	1,045$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.7	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	53c	930.72$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.44	561	52%292 W · 269 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Under	50c	870.14$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.07	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	46c	650.57$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.35	916	53.9%494 W · 422 L	+39.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	53c	639.98$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.92	367	48%176 W · 191 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over	46c	563.5$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.21	125	48.8%61 W · 64 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under	55c	545.45$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.45	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under	54c	500.4$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.18	210	48.1%101 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	326	50%163 W · 163 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	66c	435.07$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.92	629	51.2%322 W · 307 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	45c	366.42$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.18	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over	48c	332.07$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.21per pick	56cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over	48c	311.68$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-6.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over	48c	310.25$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.21	139	54%75 W · 64 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	47c	304$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.82	831	49.5%411 W · 420 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	47c	295.77$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.01	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	46c	229.42$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.17	607	41%249 W · 358 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	53c	226.41$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.41	786	51.8%407 W · 379 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	46c	220$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	624	47.3%295 W · 329 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde7a…4f07backed Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	353	49.6%175 W · 178 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	52c	192.3$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.3	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over	48c	162.66$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.73	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	47c	149.92$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.76	262	43.5%114 W · 148 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	45c	141$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.45	849	53.8%457 W · 392 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over	44c	114$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Under	56c	107.14$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.14	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over	47c	105.96$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.47	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	416	50.7%211 W · 205 L	+15.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	56c	98.3$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.3	696	53.4%372 W · 324 L	-16.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under	51c	63.32$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.03	226	55.3%125 W · 101 L	+17.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6cc…535abacked Over	48c	61.22$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Over	49c	60.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.68	157	51.6%81 W · 76 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6f…b0d3backed Over	46c	55$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over	46c	53.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.54	161	58.4%94 W · 67 L	+12.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c45…8e5cbacked Over	46c	52.17$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	418	47.8%200 W · 218 L	+11.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under	56c	45.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	263	57.8%152 W · 111 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under	55c	43$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	135	57.8%78 W · 57 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	88	50%44 W · 44 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under	53c	40.44$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.95	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Over	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	349	49.9%174 W · 175 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb846…b8d0backed Under	51c	36.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	108	64.8%70 W · 38 L	+12.6wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x122d…bcb1backed Under	51c	31.21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under	53c	30.05$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.08	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338f…c6dabacked Under	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	57cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9831…9578backed Over	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x536d…4430backed Over	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4af8…4711backed Over	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+10.0wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a7c…84d6backed Over	50c	28.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	51cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47da…ce18backed Over	50c	27.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6765…5478backed Under	51c	25.27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.38	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.31per pick	49cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	46c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	860	49.2%423 W · 437 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3945…7077backed Over	50c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	321	45.5%146 W · 175 L	-18.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8bd…6504backed Under	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a12…a366backed Under	54c	18.8$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under	55c	18.38$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.27	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Islanders vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
Islanders vs. DevilsIslanders won
Spread: Devils (-1.5)Islanders won
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Islanders vs. Devils: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event