NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe31f52970da273a91f0b0895d72719ec599c61ec6171e70e7a5a1ebe71d8594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,306,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,386,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,306,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Islanders | 51c | 312,571$158,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,429.36 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Devils | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Islanders | 49c | 97,887$48,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,478.58 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Devils | 50c | 80,142$40,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,071.02 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils | 49c | 61,827$30,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,534.59 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Devils | 50c | 51,163$25,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,766.33 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Devils | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Devils | 49c | 40,612$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Devils | 49c | 40,447$19,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,819 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Devils | 51c | 30,000$15,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,297.14 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 50c | 28,141$14,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,957.03 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Devils | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 51c | 18,109$9,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,876.55 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Devils | 51c | 14,300$7,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,244.9 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 50c | 13,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.96 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Devils | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.5 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Devils | 50c | 10,941$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Islanders | 70c | 10,779$7,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.39 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 49c | 10,536$5,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,171.81 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Islanders | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Devils | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Devils | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.88 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Devils | 49c | 8,186$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.53 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Devils | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Islanders | 50c | 7,816$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Devils | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Devils | 49c | 7,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.89 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Devils | 49c | 6,846$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.51 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Islanders | 54c | 6,309$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.14 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Islanders | 51c | 5,941$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.89 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.5 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 49c | 5,422$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.2 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Islanders | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Islanders | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Devils | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Devils | 37c | 4,620$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.77 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 50c | 4,260$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.99 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Devils | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Islanders | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Devils | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Devils | 50c | 3,930$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.14 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Devils | 47c | 3,321$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.95 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Devils | 50c | 3,301$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.74 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Devils | 50c | 3,005$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.26 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Devils | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Devils | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Devils | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Islanders | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Islanders | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Devils | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.98 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…b650backed Islanders | 50c | 2,997$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…325cbacked Devils | 50c | 2,997$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…79f6backed Devils | 50c | 2,991$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b8…75e4backed Islanders | 50c | 2,991$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…a393backed Devils | 50c | 2,986$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf8…e84abacked Islanders | 50c | 2,986$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…1e44backed Islanders | 50c | 2,981$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…ce62backed Devils | 50c | 2,981$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…8a0abacked Devils | 50c | 2,977$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…cf5bbacked Islanders | 50c | 2,977$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…b38bbacked Devils | 50c | 2,970$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…a355backed Islanders | 50c | 2,970$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…055bbacked Devils | 50c | 2,970$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…bbb0backed Islanders | 50c | 2,970$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…45abbacked Devils | 50c | 2,944$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64cf…b164backed Islanders | 50c | 2,944$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa4…8739backed Devils | 50c | 2,918$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…d246backed Islanders | 50c | 2,918$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…acc1backed Devils | 50c | 2,917$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…e988backed Islanders | 50c | 2,917$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…1f82backed Islanders | 50c | 2,881$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…0bbebacked Devils | 50c | 2,881$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…005ebacked Islanders | 50c | 2,872$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…c0f5backed Devils | 50c | 2,872$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5988…3013backed Devils | 50c | 2,864$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46c2…966dbacked Islanders | 50c | 2,864$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…ff93backed Devils | 50c | 2,851$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…e679backed Islanders | 50c | 2,851$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd049…87cdbacked Devils | 50c | 2,806$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d4…399ebacked Islanders | 50c | 2,806$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…9653backed Devils | 50c | 2,781$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…e84abacked Islanders | 50c | 2,781$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…a520backed Devils | 50c | 2,760$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…c11abacked Islanders | 50c | 2,760$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ca…9cdabacked Devils | 50c | 2,747$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…0c02backed Islanders | 50c | 2,747$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders | 50c | 2,720$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…2e6cbacked Devils | 50c | 2,716$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…bcf4backed Islanders | 50c | 2,716$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe095…98e7backed Devils | 50c | 2,709$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x123d…0695backed Islanders | 50c | 2,709$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…5e89backed Islanders | 50c | 2,675$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…e176backed Devils | 50c | 2,675$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…c2aabacked Islanders | 50c | 2,636$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6bb8backed Devils | 50c | 2,636$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Devils | 50c | 2,603$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.5 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e28…a1cabacked Islanders | 50c | 2,565$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…8560backed Devils | 50c | 2,565$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae2…b375backed Devils | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Devilsthis page
- Islanders vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Islanders won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.