TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb2f…936a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT8664%55 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+59%+$11.78
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$15.12
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$32.87
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.95
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+64.5%+$34.02
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+80.4%+$15.64
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+71.6%+$35.77
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT7150.7%36 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8.87
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$20.04
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+89%+$18.84
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51.99
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$792.95
NJIT Highlanders vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$45.43
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,826.82
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+97.1%+$1,142.74
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,254
BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bearsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$760
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+80.7%+$2,460.67
George Mason Patriots vs. Richmond Spidersbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,240
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. UCF Knightsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+60.7%+$84.71
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$8,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$8,360
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.