NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3783f950b9b47f63eaccbb1039076b3c7c45aa9a0f7445797035d394ba94bfd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Bruins, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $546,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,708 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 823 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 53c | 160,041$84,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,801.76 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Bruins | 47c | 123,291$57,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,946.71 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bruins | 48c | 29,902$14,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,352.35 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Bruins | 48c | 23,533$11,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,295.61 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bruins | 48c | 21,583$10,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,359.9 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Bruins | 51c | 19,683$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 47c | 17,017$7,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,037.32 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Penguins | 53c | 16,831$8,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,979.71 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 47c | 12,060$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.85 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 52c | 12,000$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,709.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bruins | 48c | 11,458$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Penguins | 53c | 11,323$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.11 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bruins | 47c | 10,159$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.72 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 52c | 9,027$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 52c | 8,863$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.15 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bruins | 48c | 7,975$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.05 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Penguins | 52c | 7,000$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Penguins | 52c | 6,789$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.35 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.11 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bruins | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.17 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penguins | 4c | 4,475$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.68 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bruins | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Bruins | 47c | 3,662$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.64 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Penguins | 50c | 3,385$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.11 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 41c | 3,008$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.57 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Penguins | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Penguins | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.2 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bruins | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.7 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 53c | 2,918$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.95 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Penguins | 52c | 2,800$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.3 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Penguins | 36c | 2,598$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.82 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 23c | 2,501$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.33 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Penguins | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bruins | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.71 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Penguins | 11c | 2,254$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.87 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penguins | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 39c | 2,102$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Bruins | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…8db7backed Bruins | 48c | 2,072$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…d9a6backed Penguins | 53c | 2,072$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bruins | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.59 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Bruins | 60c | 2,001$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.17 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Bruins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Bruins | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Penguins | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bruins | 72c | 1,646$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.38 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bruins | 48c | 1,574$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.77 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Penguins | 47c | 1,544$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.14 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Bruins | 47c | 1,540$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.18 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bruins | 75c | 1,481$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.62 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Penguins | 53c | 1,417$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.9 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Penguins | 36c | 1,402$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.65 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Bruins | 65c | 1,309$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Bruins | 65c | 1,111$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.9 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Penguins | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…9684backed Bruins | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Penguins | 53c | 1,023$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bruins | 48c | 1,014$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.71 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf696…090dbacked Penguins | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Penguins | 53c | 1,001$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.56 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Bruins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Penguins | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Penguins | 53c | 993.2$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.29 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 51c | 986.24$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.26 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Penguins | 51c | 968.91$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 47c | 958.18$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.06 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Penguins | 35c | 950.88$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bruins | 49c | 894.16$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.32 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bruins | 61c | 889.83$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.13 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Bruins | 49c | 869$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.81 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Penguins | 22c | 839$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Bruins | 46c | 807.86$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.62 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 52c | 794.99$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.22 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bruins | 67c | 794.67$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.43 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins | 49c | 764.84$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.44 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 58c | 756.39$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Bruins | 64c | 738.51$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.76 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Penguins | 54c | 729.87$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.34 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…1e92backed Penguins | 53c | 682.59$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Penguins | 36c | 682.36$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Penguins | 53c | 679.4$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.4 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Penguins | 53c | 675.94$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Penguins | 50c | 660.36$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.58 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Penguins | 54c | 657.7$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.7 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Bruins | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Bruins | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Bruins | 48c | 625.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Penguins | 52c | 600$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Penguins | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.3 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Penguins | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Bruins | 50c | 597.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Penguins | 52c | 596.77$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.45 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…9bbcbacked Penguins | 50c | 560.55$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bruins | 62c | 552.89$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.54 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…0547backed Penguins | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Penguins | 12c | 530.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.78 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Penguins | 24c | 519.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Bruins | 51c | 505.3$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Penguinsthis page
- Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.