NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fd98dff33a1ea3ec29fc69d1db8794e7f69cc26f9850c56b8d4cc3c7144ac22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $888,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $888,311 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 587,608$287,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300,432.25 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,500 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 51c | 125,000$63,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,750 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 120,639$62,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,207.57 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 119,558$58,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,378.05 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 49c | 119,096$57,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,210.25 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 51c | 62,400$31,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,824 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 53,440$27,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,254.4 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 51c | 20,485$10,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,478.01 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 51c | 16,392$8,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,359.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 15,750$8,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 13,100$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,660.04 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Under | 53c | 12,403$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,543.93 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 53c | 11,004$5,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,802.22 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 52c | 8,310$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.62 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 51c | 6,240$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.4 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 47c | 3,706$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.5 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 49c | 3,426$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.26 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 3,271$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.24 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.96 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Under | 65c | 2,593$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 35c | 2,466$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.84 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 51c | 2,397$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.72 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,990$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…77f2backed Over | 46c | 1,854$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,835$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 54c | 1,500$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,400$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.22 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 1,091$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.99 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…6947backed Under | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked Under | 51c | 1,035$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Under | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.84 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 942.31$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.81 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 52c | 888$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.54 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed Under | 71c | 844.11$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Under | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 735.58$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 699.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.99 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 24c | 530$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.7 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Under | 77c | 520$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.24 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f251backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Under | 54c | 327.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 46c | 324.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 63c | 314.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Under | 53c | 299.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 295.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.83 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 49c | 286$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 272$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…d655backed Under | 51c | 259.96$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 55c | 237.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 50c | 222.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 69c | 215.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa2…a4f3backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 202.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Under | 52c | 192.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +5.5wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Under | 49c | 163.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 150.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 149.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 54c | 149.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…3974backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 49c | 142.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Under | 50c | 129.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 34c | 126.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 49c | 120.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…276fbacked Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 100.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…87dcbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 137 | 58.4%80 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 51c | 97.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Under | 51c | 97.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 30c | 90.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Under | 54c | 76.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.