TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeeab…276f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$35.75
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.59
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89%+$35.61
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$20.9
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$73.86
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.7
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.33
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$23.68
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.16
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$93.83
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$75.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.65
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$13.52
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$203
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$21.46
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.43
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$54.31
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+175.3%+$105.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.22
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.79
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.5
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.54
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$39.15
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.